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Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins

FinalTV ESPN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Boston Bruins 4-3. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carter Verhaeghe's goal at 19:34 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 48% to 99%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.4; shots on goal were FLA 23, BOS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 0.6 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brad Marchand (2 A), 2. Carter Verhaeghe (1 G), 3. Casey Mittelstadt (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    B. Marchand2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. Mittelstadt2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA171927423
BOSBOS06013312331

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.51win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:01

2nd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    2:01

3rd period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:46
  2. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:46
  3. FLA
    snapxG 0.18win prob +33 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:58
  4. BOS
    wristxG 0.48win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:29
  5. FLA
    wristxG 0.13win prob +50 ptsVideo
    4-3
    19:34

Penalties

FLA 19 PIM·BOS 15 PIM

1st

  • 0:33BOSTanner Jeannot · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 1:28FLASergei Bobrovsky · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 13:12FLAJonah Gadjovich · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 13:12BOSJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Jonah Gadjovich5 min

2nd

  • 5:40FLABrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Casey Mittelstadt2 min
  • 10:58FLANiko Mikkola · Trippingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min
  • 17:35BOSPavel Zacha · Trippingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min
  • 19:43BOSElias Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min

3rd

  • 3:29FLANiko Mikkola · Cross checkingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 5:44BOSJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min
  • 5:44FLASam Bennett · Roughingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 5:44BOSNikita Zadorov · Roughingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 5:44FLASam Reinhart · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Zadorov2 min
  • 6:39FLAEvan Rodrigues · Trippingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalFLA goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Carter Verhaeghe, 3rd 19:34 — FLA 48% → 99%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Geekie · Goal · xG 0.48M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.17P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.17M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.12M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.11C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.10P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.09E. Lindholm · Goal · xG 0.09D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.09M. Eyssimont · Missed · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.07P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.07S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.06P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.06N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.06C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.04V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03A. Peeke · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.03M. Kastelic · On goal · xG 0.03M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.02P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.02A. Peeke · Missed · xG 0.02J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.01D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geekie · Missed · xG 0.01C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kastelic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.00J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.00D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.00S. Kuraly · On goal · xG 0.00C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS3 G · 2.4 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsBOS
3.14 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.73 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA62%38%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.00 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsBOS
23
Shots on goal
31
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/3
Power play
1/5
19
Penalty minutes
15
26
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
7
18
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5A. EkbladD011+100.00210—23:54
42G. ForslingD011+100.00310—23:37
3S. JonesD000+100.00120—23:27
77N. MikkolaD000+120.17034—20:30
15A. LundellC011020.241003319:43
63B. MarchandL022+110.13002—19:38
13S. ReinhartC000010.250223319:32
27E. LuostarinenC101040.4532010019:14
23C. VerhaegheC101+120.17100018:13
9S. BennettC011+120.382026117:08
17E. RodriguesC000010.010024414:29
11M. SamoskevichR101041.06300—13:44
70J. BoqvistC000-110.01120012:56
26U. BalinskisD000-100.01320—11:58
2J. PetryD000-110.01300—11:45
71L. KuninC000000.102103810:43
10A. GreerL101010.09000—05:50
12J. GadjovichL011+110.00105—04:21
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)31283.9032.37-0.6360:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).