Skip to content
Penguins at Lightning
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
FinalTV The Spot, SN-PIT·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 14:08 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were PIT 24, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 79% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.2 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Cirelli (3 G), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Zemgus Girgensons (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli3 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    Z. Girgensons1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2110815324
TBLTBL11139213633

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(21)
    G. Goncalves (19)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:06
  2. PIT
    R. Rakell(21)
    S. Girard (13), K. Letang (29)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:01
  3. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(19)
    B. Rust (35), S. Girard (14)
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:10

2nd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(22)SHG
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.25win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    0:11
  2. TBL
    B. Point(18)
    J. Guentzel (46), N. Kucherov (82)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-3
    14:08
  3. TBL
    Z. Girgensons(9)
    Y. Gourde (19), R. McDonagh (11)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:05

3rd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(41)
    C. D'Astous (23), J. Guentzel (47)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-5
    13:50
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(23)EN
    G. Goncalves (20), N. Kucherov (83)
    wristxG 0.69Video
    2-6
    15:33
  3. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(20)PPG
    K. Letang (30), A. Mantha (29)
    snapxG 0.07Video
    3-6
    19:58

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 17:52PITConnor Clifton · Interferencedrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 18:24TBLDarren Raddysh · Holdingdrawn by Noel Acciari2 min

3rd

  • 1:04PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 1:04TBLOliver Bjorkstrand · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 1:04PITEvgeni Malkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Oliver Bjorkstrand2 min
  • 7:35TBLEmil Lilleberg · Holdingdrawn by Kris Letang2 min
  • 10:15PITConnor Dewar · Holding the stickdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 10:37TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 18:10TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Cross checkingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPIT goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 14:08 — TBL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.69N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.28A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.25A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.25B. Point · Goal · xG 0.21M. Chaffee · On goal · xG 0.19Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.19Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.14N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.12N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.11B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Girgensons · Goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.07C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.06O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.06Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.04G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.01J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.00E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.00P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.00R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL6 G · 4.5 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTBL
1.93 G
All situations
5 G4.5
1.82 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.11 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT21%79%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTBL
24
Shots on goal
33
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
18
18
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-430.44010—23:48
58K. LetangD022+100.00200—20:04
28P. WotherspoonD000-210.01310—20:00
87S. CrosbyC000-200.000206519:43
67R. RakellR101-230.231005018:24
49S. GirardD022+110.20060—18:20
59E. ChinakhovR202-240.31100—18:19
71E. MalkinC000-120.23214018:18
17B. RustR011-210.06120—18:05
75C. CliftonD000-120.06232—16:52
5R. SheaD000-110.05000—16:13
18T. NovakC000+110.031007814:27
39A. ManthaR011-330.180006713:59
19C. DewarC000-100.011028313:11
55N. AcciariC000000.001008012:21
81B. KindelC000-110.020102711:59
25E. SoderblomL000010.07200—10:41
16J. BrazeauR000-200.02410—09:53
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(L)32275.8443.79-1.2159:23

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).