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Penguins at Lightning
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
FinalTV The Spot, SN-PIT·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 17:17 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 48% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 4.2 to 3.0; shots on goal were PIT 31, TBL 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Brandon Hagel (2 G), 3. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel2 G
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT18211112431
TBLTBL01519216340

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    V. Koivunen(1)PPG
    K. Letang (10), T. Novak (8)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:12

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.29win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:53
  2. PIT
    B. Kindel(7)PPG
    E. Karlsson (17), E. Malkin (21)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:49
  3. TBL
    N. Kucherov(12)
    D. Raddysh (14), J. Guentzel (14)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:46

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(16)PPG
    N. Kucherov (22), D. Raddysh (15)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:17
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(17)
    N. Paul (4), G. Goncalves (5)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:44
  3. PIT
    E. Malkin(8)
    T. Novak (9), A. Mantha (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +45 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:17

Penalties

PIT 17 PIM·TBL 13 PIM

1st

  • 2:36TBLCurtis Douglas · Fightingdrawn by Bokondji Imama5 min
  • 2:36PITBokondji Imama · Fightingdrawn by Curtis Douglas5 min
  • 4:59TBLMax Crozier · Holdingdrawn by Ben Kindel2 min
  • 11:14PITParker Wotherspoon · Holdingdrawn by Dominic James2 min
  • 13:58PITRyan Graves · Slashingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min
  • 19:36PITSidney Crosby · Cross checkingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

2nd

  • 9:13TBLDarren Raddysh · Trippingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 10:16TBLDeclan Carlile · Interferencedrawn by Blake Lizotte2 min
  • 14:02PITErik Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

3rd

  • 1:02PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Jake Guentzel2 min
  • 3:18PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min
  • 7:00TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalPIT goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 3rd 17:17 — PIT 48% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.20J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.18O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.16B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.15A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.15C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.15B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.15P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.14C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.13N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.11B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.10D. James · Missed · xG 0.10O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.08A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.06E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.06J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hagel · Goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.02D. James · On goal · xG 0.02D. Carlile · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01D. Carlile · Missed · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01C. Douglas · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 4.2 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsTBL
3.04 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.72 G
Power play
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT35%65%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.01 – 4.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsTBL
31
Shots on goal
40
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/4
Power play
1/6
17
Penalty minutes
13
21
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
4
13
Giveaways
20
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD011-160.16002—25:29
17B. RustR000-120.82000—21:37
87S. CrosbyC000-110.041026721:30
5R. SheaD000+100.02110—20:05
58K. LetangD011030.08222—20:03
28P. WotherspoonD000030.16212—20:01
81B. KindelC101-150.350203617:50
46B. LizotteC000000.112106316:07
13K. HayesR000-130.2830010014:58
71E. MalkinC213+230.461021714:58
27R. GravesD000000.04012—14:40
75C. CliftonD000000.00320—14:16
19C. DewarC000010.08120013:43
2R. McGroartyR000-110.02300—13:01
41V. KoivunenR101-120.13110—12:48
39A. ManthaR011+210.30110—11:40
18T. NovakC022+200.00000011:21
14B. ImamaL000000.00005—05:38
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(W)40373.9254.19+1.1960:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).