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Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, SN·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Colorado Avalanche 8-6. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marcus Pettersson's goal at 14:21 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.5 to 3.1; shots on goal were VAN 26, COL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 24 of 30 (.800), 3.0 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 13 of 19 (.684), 3.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (3 G, 1 A), 2. Sam Malinski (2 G, 1 A), 3. Teddy Blueger (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser3 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Malinski2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    T. Blueger2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN3123826826
COLCOL2716317630

Scoring

14 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    F. Hronek (35), Z. Buium (19)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:29
  2. COL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:22
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.16win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:21
  4. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(17)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    11:38
  5. COL
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:05

2nd period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:02
  2. VAN
    snapxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    9:42
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.03win prob +4 ptsVideo
    6-2
    15:21
  4. COL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-3
    15:43

3rd period

  1. COL
    J. Drury (17), J. Manson (25)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +8 ptsVideo
    6-4
    0:14
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    6-5
    13:21
  3. COL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +37 ptsVideo
    6-6
    13:58
  4. VAN
    slapxG 0.05win prob +39 ptsVideo
    7-6
    14:21
  5. VAN
    B. Boeser(21)EN
    wristxG 0.55win prob +5 ptsVideo
    8-6
    18:31

Penalties

VAN 6 PIM·COL 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:41VANJake DeBrusk · Slashingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 11:24COLGabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Max Sasson2 min
  • 19:33COLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 10:33VANLinus Karlsson · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 15:43VANserved by Linus Karlsson · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

3rd

  • 14:57COLGabriel Landeskog · High stickingdrawn by Elias Pettersson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVAN goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Marcus Pettersson, 3rd 14:21 — VAN 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.39B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.25N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.20V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.20G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.19N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.15N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.11N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04G. Landeskog · Goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.04S. Malinski · Goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.04P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03P. Kelly · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.01N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.00J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL6 G · 3.1 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCOL
3.57 G
All situations
6 G3.1
2.45 G
Even strength
6 G2.3
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN47%53%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.89 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCOL
26
Shots on goal
30
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
11
14
Blocked shots
8
8
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
17F. HronekD011-100.01110—28:47
29M. PetterssonD123+410.05330—25:07
40E. PetterssonC011+110.221006920:04
53T. BluegerC202020.560005319:48
6B. BoeserR314+240.89000—18:57
5T. WillanderD011+200.18210—18:57
25E. PetterssonD000+110.15320—17:31
92L. OhgrenL011010.02020—17:15
74J. DeBruskL101030.28012—17:02
94L. KarlssonC000-110.15002016:59
24Z. BuiumD011-200.00000—15:48
63M. SassonC112-120.30010015:18
93M. RossiC022+100.042005713:36
18D. O'ConnorL022+230.142105012:43
54A. RätyC000010.063206911:52
7P. JosephD000-200.03000—11:01
21N. HoglanderL000-110.02100—06:57
42C. DouglasC000-150.38300006:18
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)30246.8003.05-2.9560:00

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).