Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Canucks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 13:52 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 21, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Scott Wedgewood stopped 10 of 11 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).
Three stars
- ★N. MacKinnon2 G

- ★★G. Landeskog2 A

- ★★★B. Nelson1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-02:55
1-119:23
2nd period
1-213:52
1-319:26
Penalties
1st
- 6:56
Marcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min
2nd
- 1:05
served by Z. Bardakov · Too many men on the ice2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 13:52 — 53% → 73%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.51 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.3
- 1.81 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.7
- 0.70 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.3
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.86
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 31
- 47%
- Faceoffs
- 53%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 17
- Hits
- 18
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 15
- Giveaways
- 17
- 4
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
COL leads 2-1
5@
4OTFinal
1@
3this game
8@
6Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















