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Vancouver Canucks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, SNP·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-1. The Canucks scored first; the Avalanche answered. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 13:52 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.3 to 2.5; shots on goal were VAN 21, COL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Scott Wedgewood stopped 10 of 11 (.909). Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G), 2. Gabriel Landeskog (2 A), 3. Brock Nelson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    G. Landeskog2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN180508121
COLCOL11421205331

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:55
  2. COL
    snapxG 0.37win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:23

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.19win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:52
  2. COL
    slapxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:26

Penalties

VAN 2 PIM·COL 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:56VANMarcus Pettersson · High stickingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

2nd

  • 1:05COLserved by Z. Bardakov · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalVAN goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, 2nd 13:52 — COL 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.37R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.37R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.22B. Nelson · Goal · xG 0.19R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.18R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.13V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.13V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.09J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.09C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.07D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.04M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kiviranta · Missed · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.04M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.03S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.00R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 3.3 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCOL
2.51 G
All situations
3 G3.3
1.81 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.70 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN43%57%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCOL
21
Shots on goal
31
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
17
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
16
15
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000030.19010—29:33
17F. HronekD000-110.04220—25:12
40E. PetterssonC000010.262104522:06
6B. BoeserR000-110.34000—20:54
57T. MyersD000-100.02110—20:28
29M. PetterssonD000-110.03102—19:55
94L. KarlssonC101+120.40200016:49
74J. DeBruskL000-210.16000—15:59
44K. SherwoodL000-160.414005015:48
23J. LekkerimäkiR000000.03010—15:31
64D. KampfC000-100.000105514:42
5T. WillanderD000010.00020—13:49
91E. KaneL000000.00000—13:29
18D. O'ConnorL000-210.06100—13:16
63M. SassonC000-220.490105011:45
13A. BainsL011+100.00210—11:44
7P. JosephD000-110.03000—10:42
54A. RätyC011+100.002006009:42
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(L)31283.9032.91-0.0956:36

Season series

COL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).