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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

FinalTV NHLN, SN-PIT·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Islanders 8-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 14:35 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 32, NYI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 29 (.759), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (2 G, 1 A), 2. Justin Brazeau (3 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Mantha2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    J. Brazeau3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT01151338832
NYINYI073808323

Scoring

11 goals

2nd period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:27
  2. NYI
    snapxG 0.14win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:56
  3. PIT
    C. Dewar (14), N. Acciari (11)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:41
  4. NYI
    snapxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:17
  5. PIT
    R. Rakell(18)SHG
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:01
  6. PIT
    A. Mantha (28), S. Crosby (37)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +20 ptsVideo
    3-3
    13:29
  7. PIT
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    4-3
    14:35
  8. PIT
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:18

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Kindel (17), T. Novak (23)
    snapxG 0.30win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-3
    6:06
  2. PIT
    deflectedxG 0.25win prob +3 ptsVideo
    7-3
    7:54
  3. PIT
    S. Crosby (38), K. Letang (27)
    wristxG 0.14Video
    8-3
    16:16

Penalties

PIT 11 PIM·NYI 9 PIM

1st

  • 16:45PITSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 16:45NYIMathew Barzal · Embellishment2 min
  • 19:03NYIJean-Gabriel Pageau · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

2nd

  • 0:45PITRickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
  • 9:41PITNoel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min

3rd

  • 4:35PITElmer Soderblom · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
  • 4:35NYIScott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 14:35 — PIT 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.31B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.24M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.20C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.19M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.14M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.14M. Gatcomb · Missed · xG 0.12M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.10K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.09E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.06A. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.05M. Gatcomb · On goal · xG 0.05M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04O. Palat · Missed · xG 0.04C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.04K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.03C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02A. Boqvist · Missed · xG 0.02M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.02B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pelech · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI3 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
4.78 G
All situations
3 G2.3
4.57 G
Even strength
2 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT81%19%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.40 – 2.25

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
32
Shots on goal
23
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/1
Power play
1/2
11
Penalty minutes
9
16
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
49S. GirardD011+200.00102—20:50
28P. WotherspoonD022+320.03120—20:39
58K. LetangD022+300.00110—19:43
65E. KarlssonD000+120.09000—19:41
5R. SheaD101+110.04010—19:04
75C. CliftonD000+210.15310—18:53
17B. RustR112+110.22110—18:41
39A. ManthaR213+440.6700010018:13
87S. CrosbyC022+130.610103516:48
67R. RakellR202+330.781022916:28
19C. DewarC011010.360102715:08
59E. ChinakhovR000030.09010—14:58
81B. KindelC011+230.410102314:25
16J. BrazeauR033+330.24330—14:23
18T. NovakC011+100.000203312:19
85A. HayesR101+110.39100—11:49
55N. AcciariC011+120.231123811:44
25E. SoderblomL101020.36315—11:32
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)23203.8702.29-0.7160:00

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).