Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the New York Islanders 8-3. The Penguins came back from two goals down. The Penguins led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Mantha's goal at 14:35 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were PIT 32, NYI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 22 of 29 (.759), 3.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Mantha (2 G, 1 A), 2. Justin Brazeau (3 A), 3. Rickard Rakell (2 G).
Three stars
- ★A. Mantha2 G, 1 A

- ★★J. Brazeau3 A

- ★★★R. Rakell2 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
11 goals2nd period
0-11:27
0-22:56
1-26:41
1-39:17
2-311:01
3-313:29
4-314:35
5-317:18
3rd period
6-36:06
7-37:54
8-316:16
Penalties
1st
- 16:45
Samuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
- 16:45
Mathew Barzal · Embellishment2 min
- 19:03
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · High stickingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min
2nd
- 0:45
Rickard Rakell · Hookingdrawn by Bo Horvat2 min
- 9:41
Noel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Kyle MacLean2 min
3rd
- 4:35
Elmer Soderblom · Fightingdrawn by Scott Mayfield5 min
- 4:35
Scott Mayfield · Fightingdrawn by Elmer Soderblom5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Anthony Mantha, 2nd 14:35 — 47% → 68%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.78 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.3
- 4.57 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.0
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.1
- 0.11 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.40 – 2.25
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 23
- 32%
- Faceoffs
- 68%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 11
- Penalty minutes
- 9
- 16
- Hits
- 16
- 17
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 16
- Giveaways
- 15
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
PIT leads 2-1
3@
4Final
4@
5OTFinal
8@
3this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















