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Penguins at Islanders
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
4
New York Islanders
▸5
Final/OTTV TNT, truTV·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4 in overtime, Bo Horvat scoring at 0:52. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bo Horvat's goal at 0:52 of overtime, which took the Islanders' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.5; shots on goal were PIT 35, NYI 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 18 of 23 (.783), 2.5 goals below expected; Ilya Sorokin stopped 31 of 35 (.886). Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (2 G, 1 A), 2. Mathew Barzal (1 G, 2 A), 3. Ryan Pulock (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    B. Horvat2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT11121211200435
NYINYI210052711523

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    A. Mantha(20)
    J. Brazeau (12)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    12:09
  2. NYI
    B. Horvat(22)
    A. Lee (20)
    backhandxG 0.55win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:41
  3. NYI
    M. Schaefer(16)
    O. Palat (8), B. Horvat (15)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:56

2nd period

  1. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(11)
    T. Novak (20), E. Karlsson (31)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:52
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(19)
    S. Crosby (32), I. Solovyov (4)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +21 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:09

3rd period

  1. NYI
    M. Barzal(16)
    A. Pelech (7)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-3
    8:37
  2. PIT
    J. Brazeau(15)
    B. Kulak (8)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +34 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:40
  3. NYI
    R. Pulock(3)
    M. Barzal (33), S. Holmstrom (16)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +40 ptsVideo
    4-4
    15:24

Overtime

  1. NYI
    B. Horvat(23)
    M. Barzal (34), M. Schaefer (23)
    snapxG 0.25win prob +49 ptsVideo
    4-5
    0:52

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·NYI 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:54NYIScott Mayfield · Hookingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

2nd

  • 4:08PITErik Karlsson · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:07NYICarson Soucy · Holdingdrawn by Egor Chinakhov2 min

3rd

  • 11:52PITSidney Crosby · Trippingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalPIT goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Bo Horvat, OT 0:52 — NYI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.55B. Horvat · Goal · xG 0.25M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.19A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.14S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.13M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.12M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.12A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.11S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pulock · Goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.04M. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.04A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.04T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.04K. MacLean · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · Goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03M. Barzal · On goal · xG 0.02C. Soucy · Missed · xG 0.02A. Pelech · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.02S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01E. Heineman · Missed · xG 0.01M. Barzal · Missed · xG 0.01C. Cizikas · On goal · xG 0.00M. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI5 G · 2.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsNYI
3.64 G
All situations
5 G2.5
3.04 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT70%30%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 2.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
23
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
22
10
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28P. WotherspoonD000+100.00330—23:00
65E. KarlssonD011+230.06102—22:27
5R. SheaD000-220.04010—20:50
77B. KulakD011-200.00010—20:23
17B. RustR101-110.17100—19:05
87S. CrosbyC011030.413026218:17
71E. MalkinC000-230.30100017:44
59E. ChinakhovR101-130.26100—16:47
67R. RakellR000010.52100—16:41
75C. CliftonD000-110.01600—16:27
18T. NovakC011-220.340002714:18
81B. KindelC000+120.280102014:13
7I. SolovyovD011+120.02200—14:12
39A. ManthaR101+120.27110—13:31
19C. DewarC000020.17110013:22
55N. AcciariC000020.191005713:15
16J. BrazeauR112+260.57120—12:59
46B. LizotteC000000.00200011:05
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(O)23185.7832.46-2.5460:52

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).