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Stars at Flyers
NHL

Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸2
Final/OTTV Victory+, NBCSP·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Dallas Stars 2-1 in overtime, Trevor Zegras scoring at 3:27. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Trevor Zegras's goal at 3:27 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 18, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Samuel Ersson stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Trevor Zegras (1 G), 2. Samuel Ersson (17 saves, .944), 3. Casey DeSmith (28 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Zegras1 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    S. Ersson17 saves, .944
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    C. DeSmith28 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DALDAL06190300118
PHIPHI041130914230

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    T. Konecny(26)PPG
    M. Michkov (24), R. Ristolainen (9)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:48
  2. DAL
    A. Hyry(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:53

Overtime

  1. PHI
    T. Zegras(23)
    C. York (22), S. Ersson (1)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:27

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:34DALWyatt Johnston · Trippingdrawn by Cam York2 min
  • 10:41PHISean Couturier · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

2nd

  • 8:00DALMikko Rantanen · High stickingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 16:27DALWyatt Johnston · Hookingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

3rd

  • 17:12PHITrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Adam Erne2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalDAL goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Trevor Zegras, OT 3:27 — PHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.34M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.16T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.14T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.13C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.12D. Barkey · Missed · xG 0.11T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.11N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.11O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.10C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.09R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · Missed · xG 0.07T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.07G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.07T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.07C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.06S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.06T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.04O. Tippett · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.04T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.03C. Grundstrom · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.02A. Bump · Missed · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.02G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.01N. Cates · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01R. Ristolainen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.00J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.00S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsPHI
2.31 G
All situations
2 G2.8
1.50 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 77 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL41%59%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 2.80

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsPHI
18
Shots on goal
30
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
14
Hits
31
5
Blocked shots
10
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55T. HarleyD000+110.02010—25:09
4M. HeiskanenD000-100.00000—24:07
23E. LindellD000000.00020—23:01
53W. JohnstonC000-120.750043623:00
96M. RantanenR000-120.25202—21:24
21J. RobertsonL000050.21100—20:55
22M. BourqueC000010.1310010018:02
5N. LundkvistD000000.00000—17:56
95M. DucheneC000000.311005017:20
57T. MyersD000+100.02000—15:33
6L. BichselD000000.00100—14:53
49J. HryckowianC000000.053102514:37
14J. BennL000010.03100—14:14
10O. BäckC000+110.03000014:12
15C. BlackwellC000000.000003313:25
25A. HyryR101+120.172105412:20
73A. ErneL000020.15100—10:39
58M. BuntingL000010.22100—03:46
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(O)30282.9332.81+0.8163:27

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).