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Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars

FinalTV Victory+, NBCSP·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 11:39 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 21, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.7 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (3 G), 2. Roope Hintz (3 A), 3. Lian Bichsel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Robertson3 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    R. Hintz3 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    L. Bichsel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI0301117121
DALDAL11026212528

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    3:48

2nd period

  1. DAL
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:39
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:02

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.15Video
    0-4
    9:29
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.18Video
    1-4
    10:57
  3. DAL
    wristxG 0.05Video
    1-5
    13:51

Penalties

PHI 4 PIM·DAL 2 PIM

1st

  • 16:47PHIBobby Brink · Interferencedrawn by Radek Faksa2 min

2nd

  • 17:20DALColin Blackwell · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min

3rd

  • 8:33PHITyson Foerster · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalPHI goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 11:39 — DAL 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.27S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.22O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.21C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.17J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.15R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.15T. Seguin · Missed · xG 0.13S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.12E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.11J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.10J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Hryckowian · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Seguin · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.05E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.05J. Robertson · Goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05N. Bastian · Missed · xG 0.05J. Hryckowian · Missed · xG 0.05A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.04O. Bäck · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.02L. Bichsel · Goal · xG 0.02M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 3.3 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsDAL
1.71 G
All situations
5 G3.3
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI23%77%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 3.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsDAL
21
Shots on goal
28
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
32
Hits
23
12
Blocked shots
12
17
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD000030.02220—21:38
47N. JuulsenD000-100.00110—21:35
8C. YorkD000000.00020—21:25
36E. AndraeD000-110.03200—21:12
22C. DvorakC101020.211006017:15
14S. CouturierC000-200.042105416:34
9J. DrysdaleD011-200.00000—16:31
46T. ZegrasC000020.5611010016:27
71T. FoersterR000-110.15412—16:08
10B. BrinkR000-110.03112—16:03
11T. KonecnyR000-210.031005015:55
24N. SeelerD000-210.02200—15:44
27N. CatesL000-100.002005015:09
39M. MichkovR000-250.34000—14:35
74O. TippettR011030.17200—14:18
19G. HathawayR000000.00610—13:01
29N. GrebenkinR000010.02310—12:24
18R. AbolsC000000.052106011:14
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(L)28235.8213.29-1.7159:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).