Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars
Recap
written from the game dataThe Dallas Stars beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Robertson's goal at 11:39 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 3.3 to 1.7; shots on goal were PHI 21, DAL 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 1.7 goals below expected; Jake Oettinger stopped 20 of 21 (.952), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Robertson (3 G), 2. Roope Hintz (3 A), 3. Lian Bichsel (1 G).
Three stars
- ★J. Robertson3 G

- ★★R. Hintz3 A

- ★★★L. Bichsel1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
0-13:48
2nd period
0-211:39
0-317:02
3rd period
0-49:29
1-410:57
1-513:51
Penalties
1st
- 16:47
Bobby Brink · Interferencedrawn by Radek Faksa2 min
2nd
- 17:20
Colin Blackwell · High stickingdrawn by Travis Sanheim2 min
3rd
- 8:33
Tyson Foerster · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Bäck2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jason Robertson, 2nd 11:39 — 72% → 87%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.71 G
- All situations
- 5 G3.3
- 1.61 G
- Even strength
- 4 G2.6
- 0.10 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.6
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.65 – 3.22
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 28
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 1/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 32
- Hits
- 23
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 17
- Giveaways
- 11
- 6
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
1@
5this game
1@
2OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















