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Canadiens at Predators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸4
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, SNE·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Nashville Predators 4-1. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. The Canadiens led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Kapanen's goal at 3:12 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were MTL 32, NSH 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jacob Fowler stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Juuse Saros stopped 28 of 32 (.875). Three stars: 1. Ivan Demidov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jacob Fowler (23 saves, .958), 3. Juraj Slafkovský.

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Fowler23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL1931409432
NSHNSH0301219124

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    I. Demidov(16)
    N. Suzuki (63)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:34

2nd period

  1. MTL
    O. Kapanen(22)
    A. Newhook (11), L. Hutson (60)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    3:12
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(45)
    N. Suzuki (64)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:45
  3. MTL
    A. Newhook(11)
    I. Demidov (40), O. Kapanen (15)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-0
    16:23

3rd period

  1. NSH
    Z. L'Heureux(2)
    R. Ufko (4), M. Wood (11)
    wristxG 0.14Video
    4-1
    16:26

Penalties

MTL 8 PIM·NSH 16 PIM

1st

  • 19:44NSHLuke Evangelista · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Fowler2 min

2nd

  • 3:59MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 7:46MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 19:35MTLKaiden Guhle · Roughingdrawn by Reid Schaefer2 min
  • 19:35NSHNicolas Hague · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

3rd

  • 14:24MTLJake Evans · Slashingdrawn by Zachary L'Heureux2 min
  • 18:05NSHZachary L'Heureux · Roughingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min
  • 18:05NSHZachary L'Heureux · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalMTL goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Oliver Kapanen, 2nd 3:12 — MTL 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.20Z. L'Heureux · Goal · xG 0.14E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.13E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.13E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.10Z. L'Heureux · On goal · xG 0.10T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.09F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.09Z. L'Heureux · Missed · xG 0.07A. Wilsby · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.06T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.05J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.05T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.05L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.05S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.04R. Schaefer · Missed · xG 0.02N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.02B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.01R. Schaefer · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 1.9 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsNSH
3.64 G
All situations
1 G1.9
2.94 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.40 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL77%23%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.60 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
24
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
16
20
Hits
25
16
Blocked shots
7
20
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53N. DobsonD000020.03130—21:34
48L. HutsonD011+230.03020—21:19
8M. MathesonD000-100.00510—20:47
45A. CarrierD000+100.00120—19:15
14N. SuzukiC022+140.460006118:53
21K. GuhleD000+310.04012—17:23
20J. SlafkovskýL000+140.42100—16:45
13C. CaufieldR101+140.50000—16:28
24P. DanaultC000-100.000205016:18
47J. StrubleD000+110.00002—16:13
93I. DemidovR112+320.53200—16:11
91O. KapanenC112+330.32000016:05
15A. NewhookC112+330.261102915:11
76Z. BolducR000000.15320—14:47
90J. VelenoC000-110.524103313:44
11B. GallagherR000030.27110—13:15
71J. EvansC000-110.110046412:59
17J. AndersonR000000.00100—04:53
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Fowler(W)24231.9581.94+0.9460:00

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).