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Predators at Canadiens
NHL

Nashville Predators at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
2
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Final/OTTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Cole Caufield scoring at 4:57. The Predators scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Predators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 19:40 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 3% to 51%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were NSH 19, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Juuse Saros stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 17 of 19 (.895). Three stars: 1. Cole Caufield (2 G), 2. Nick Suzuki (1 A), 3. Lane Hutson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Caufield2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    L. Hutson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH06161403219
MTLMTL0601021113330

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    S. Stamkos(1)PPG
    R. Josi (3), L. Evangelista (3)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:36

3rd period

  1. MTL
    O. Kapanen(3)
    L. Hutson (3), K. Guhle (1)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:02
  2. NSH
    N. Perbix(2)
    M. McCarron (1)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:21
  3. MTL
    C. Caufield(4)
    L. Hutson (4)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:40

Overtime

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(5)
    N. Suzuki (7), M. Matheson (3)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    4:57

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·MTL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:27NSHTyson Jost · Hookingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min

2nd

  • 4:46NSHCole Smith · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 10:05MTLZachary Bolduc · Hookingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 18:25MTLIvan Demidov · Holding the stickdrawn by Spencer Stastney2 min

3rd

  • 14:18NSHMichael McCarron · Trippingdrawn by Kirby Dach2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalNSH goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 3rd 19:40 — MTL 3% → 51%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.43M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.26N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.24C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.23B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.23N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.21A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.18B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.16Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.16C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.14C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.13B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.12O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.10I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.09P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.09N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Bolduc · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.06I. Demidov · Missed · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.06I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.05O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02I. Demidov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dach · On goal · xG 0.01C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.00L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 4.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsMTL
2.52 G
All situations
3 G4.0
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G3.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH27%73%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.44 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsMTL
19
Shots on goal
30
55%
Faceoffs
45%
1/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
16
Hits
13
12
Blocked shots
17
16
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD011-120.23000—28:13
76B. SkjeiD000-100.00000—23:03
48N. PerbixD101-120.18010—22:00
83A. WilsbyD000000.00020—20:55
90R. O'ReillyC000-100.280005020:04
9F. ForsbergL000020.43300—19:09
91S. StamkosC101-120.321108318:14
81J. MarchessaultR000-220.2210010017:26
56E. HaulaL000010.042005017:05
77L. EvangelistaR011-100.13020—14:51
47M. McCarronC011+110.044225614:45
58M. BuntingL000010.05020—14:35
17T. JostC000-130.1610210014:31
20J. BarronD000000.00010—14:14
36C. SmithR000010.18202—14:11
24S. StastneyD000010.10000—13:36
40F. SvechkovC000-110.120103312:15
89O. WiesblattC000+100.00200010:11
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74J. Saros(O)30273.9003.98+0.9864:30

Season series

MTL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).