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Maple Leafs at Blues
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
1
St. Louis Blues
▸5
FinalTV FDSNMW, KMOV-TV·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pius Suter's goal at 6:46 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 74% to 92%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.6; shots on goal were TOR 13, STL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Joseph Woll stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 1.9 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 12 of 13 (.923), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Holloway (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Kyrou (2 A), 3. Jake Neighbours (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    D. Holloway1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Neighbours2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR040415113
STLSTL010215313538

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Snuggerud(17)
    C. Fowler (24), D. Holloway (19)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:21
  2. STL
    J. Holl(1)
    J. Kyrou (21), P. Buchnevich (27)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:35

3rd period

  1. TOR
    J. McCabe(5)
    D. Joshua (7), J. Quillan (1)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:07
  2. STL
    P. Suter(12)SHG
    R. Thomas (31)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:46
  3. STL
    D. Holloway(17)
    J. Kyrou (22), J. Neighbours (13)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-4
    9:10
  4. STL
    P. Broberg(5)PPG
    J. Neighbours (14), R. Thomas (32)
    wristxG 0.08Video
    1-5
    18:24

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 12:41STLJack Finley · High sticking double minordrawn by Jacob Quillan4 min

2nd

  • 16:37TOREaston Cowan · High stickingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

3rd

  • 6:28STLTheo Lindstein · Holdingdrawn by Easton Cowan2 min
  • 17:28TORMatias Maccelli · Holdingdrawn by Colton Parayko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalTOR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Pius Suter, 3rd 6:46 — STL 74% → 92%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.21J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.20P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.17D. Holloway · Goal · xG 0.16J. Holl · Goal · xG 0.15J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.15A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.13O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.13P. Suter · Goal · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.11T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.10R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.10D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.09D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.09O. Stenberg · On goal · xG 0.08P. Broberg · Goal · xG 0.08D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.07J. Neighbours · On goal · xG 0.07A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.07L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.06D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.05P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.05L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.03C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.03J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.03J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.02J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.02J. Berggren · On goal · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.02L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.02D. Dvorsky · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.01J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01J. Holl · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lindstein · On goal · xG 0.01C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.00D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsSTL
1.61 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR23%77%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.54 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsSTL
13
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
6
25
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
22J. McCabeD101+140.03110—21:33
88W. NylanderR000-100.021002520:03
95O. Ekman-LarssonD000000.00100—20:00
25B. CarloD000-210.01110—19:26
44M. RiellyD000-220.00100—18:46
53E. CowanR000-200.00402—18:44
89N. RobertsonL000-100.03020—17:43
28T. StecherD000-100.00140—17:43
2S. BenoitD000-110.06410—17:35
11M. DomiC000-110.020004316:23
26J. QuillanC011-100.010108816:07
23M. KniesL000-300.00000—15:26
81D. JoshuaC011010.50300015:03
91J. TavaresC000-110.290003614:48
63M. MaccelliL000010.29102—14:09
19C. JarnkrokC000+110.10100013:22
18S. LorentzC000000.112005011:30
61M. PezzettaL000-100.09200—08:49
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Woll(L)38335.8683.11-1.8959:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).