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Ducks at Oilers
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Edmonton Oilers
▸4
FinalTV KTTV, Victory+·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 7:36 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.2 to 3.2; shots on goal were ANA 33, EDM 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Connor Ingram stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (1 G, 2 A), 2. John Carlson (2 A), 3. Connor Ingram (31 saves, .939).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Carlson2 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    C. Ingram31 saves, .939

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01203218233
EDMEDM01511138434

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(42)
    M. Jones (2), E. Bouchard (65)
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:36

3rd period

  1. EDM
    J. Roslovic(20)
    Z. Hyman (19), E. Bouchard (66)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:59
  2. EDM
    M. Savoie(14)
    V. Podkolzin (17), C. McDavid (81)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:10
  3. ANA
    B. Sennecke(22)
    J. Carlson (43), J. LaCombe (42)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:53
  4. ANA
    C. Gauthier(37)
    J. Viel (6), J. Carlson (44)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:41
  5. EDM
    Z. Hyman(31)EN
    C. McDavid (82), C. Murphy (10)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    19:43

Penalties

ANA 6 PIM·EDM 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:35ANAJeffrey Viel · Slashingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 11:49EDMKasperi Kapanen · Trippingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

2nd

  • 0:16ANARyan Poehling · Hookingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 3:54EDMConnor Murphy · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 14:55EDMKasperi Kapanen · Hookingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

3rd

  • 12:20ANAOlen Zellweger · Trippingdrawn by Zach Hyman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalANA goalFinal: EDM 100%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 7:36 — EDM 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Goal · xG 0.92E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.27R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.26M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.18M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.18J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.14E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.12M. Savoie · Goal · xG 0.12R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11C. McDavid · Goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.10J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.09V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.06J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.05A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.05J. Samanski · On goal · xG 0.05E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.04C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.03C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Samanski · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Walman · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM4 G · 4.2 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsEDM
3.22 G
All situations
3 G4.2
2.62 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA49%51%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.14 – 3.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsEDM
33
Shots on goal
34
59%
Faceoffs
41%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
22
15
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD022-140.17160—28:07
2J. LaCombeD011-130.28110—25:20
65J. TroubaD000-120.01210—21:17
64M. GranlundC000+110.070105921:15
91L. CarlssonC000-210.410002018:22
17A. KillornL000+100.19200—18:20
20C. KreiderL000-320.15400—17:49
19T. TerryR000-220.14000—17:17
25R. PoehlingC000+110.181327915:24
45B. SenneckeR101+120.09200—15:20
51O. ZellwegerD000010.02012—15:04
61C. GauthierL101050.630007515:02
28J. VielL011+130.25102—14:21
42T. WasheC000-230.470006313:51
14D. HellesonD000010.02020—12:55
3I. MooreD000-110.03000—11:10
23M. McTavishC000-100.00100008:52
77F. VatranoR000-210.06000—06:00
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(L)33303.9093.24+0.2458:14

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).