Skip to content
Oilers at Ducks
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
5
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
FinalTV Victory+, SNW·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Edmonton Oilers 6-5. The Ducks came back from two goals down. The Oilers led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cutter Gauthier's goal at 18:46 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 97%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were EDM 27, ANA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.4 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Leo Carlsson (1 G, 2 A), 2. Connor McDavid (2 A), 3. Alex Killorn (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Carlsson1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM2102819527
ANAANA11019410629

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Roslovic(16)
    M. Savoie (10), D. Nurse (12)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:13
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(14)
    C. McDavid (63), M. Savoie (11)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:03
  3. ANA
    I. Moore(3)
    J. Harkins (3), R. Johnston (11)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:30

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(8)PPG
    L. Carlsson (27), M. McTavish (18)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    3:01
  2. EDM
    Z. Hyman(23)
    M. Ekholm (22), E. Bouchard (49)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +23 ptsVideo
    3-2
    18:45
  3. EDM
    E. Bouchard(16)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (33), C. McDavid (64)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:20

3rd period

  1. ANA
    L. Carlsson(19)
    J. Trouba (17), C. Kreider (12)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:30
  2. ANA
    O. Zellweger(7)
    R. Gudas (10), T. Terry (32)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +25 ptsVideo
    4-4
    2:55
  3. EDM
    M. Savoie(10)PPG
    V. Podkolzin (14), M. Ekholm (23)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +25 ptsVideo
    5-4
    5:53
  4. ANA
    B. Sennecke(19)
    J. LaCombe (32)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +28 ptsVideo
    5-5
    6:39
  5. ANA
    C. Gauthier(26)
    L. Carlsson (28), C. Kreider (13)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +45 ptsVideo
    5-6
    18:46

Penalties

EDM 10 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

1st

  • 1:14EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 12:51EDMAdam Henrique · Hookingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min
  • 19:42ANACutter Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by Jake Walman2 min

2nd

  • 1:52EDMJack Roslovic · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 14:32EDMTy Emberson · Slashingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

3rd

  • 3:56ANAIan Moore · Trippingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 19:37EDMConnor McDavid · Trippingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalEDM goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Cutter Gauthier, 3rd 18:46 — ANA 52% → 97%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.35A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.34J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.23C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.20A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16L. Carlsson · Goal · xG 0.14M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.13B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.13R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.12M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.10C. Gauthier · Goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.10L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.08M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.07B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.07J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Viel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.04I. Moore · Goal · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.03P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.03I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.02J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.02I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.02R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.02J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.02M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.01O. Zellweger · Goal · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA6 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsANA
3.85 G
All situations
6 G3.0
3.04 G
Even strength
5 G1.4
0.71 G
Power play
1 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM62%38%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.70 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsANA
27
Shots on goal
29
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
15
15
Giveaways
24
5
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18Z. HymanL101+130.49100—22:17
2E. BouchardD112+230.32010—22:16
97C. McDavidC022+220.451025022:02
25D. NurseD011-300.00020—21:24
96J. WalmanD000-200.03030—21:18
29L. DraisaitlC000-230.231005720:35
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC112+120.51000020:12
14M. EkholmD022+100.07232—19:30
24S. StastneyD000000.00000—16:51
22M. SavoieC123040.43010016:28
49T. EmbersonD000020.04202—15:34
28J. RoslovicC101-220.20102015:28
19A. HenriqueC000000.081025512:42
92V. PodkolzinR011-130.43300—12:18
10T. FredericC000-110.2260010011:14
88A. MangiapaneL000010.22200—10:16
20C. LazarC000-110.031106910:13
13M. JanmarkC000000.00000002:30
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry25205.8002.63-2.3746:39
39C. Ingram(L)431.7500.40-0.6012:41

Season series

EDM leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).