Skip to content

Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV Utah16, MNMT·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Utah Mammoth 7-4. The Capitals came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 2:43 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 5.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were WSH 25, UTA 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 91% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 36 of 40 (.900), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 17 of 23 (.739), 3.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (3 G), 2. Dylan Guenther (2 G), 3. Ivan Miroshnichenko (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin3 G
  2. ★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther2 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    I. Miroshnichenko2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH182849725
UTAUTA311013116440

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:07
  2. UTA
    slapxG 0.11win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:04
  3. UTA
    backhandxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:59
  4. UTA
    L. Cooley(18)PPG
    wristxG 0.64win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:53

2nd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:01
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.02win prob +19 ptsVideo
    3-3
    11:28

3rd period

  1. WSH
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +26 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:43
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-3
    6:02
  3. UTA
    snapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    5-4
    8:06
  4. WSH
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    6-4
    9:54
  5. WSH
    wristxG 0.57Video
    7-4
    19:54

Penalties

WSH 32 PIM·UTA 50 PIM

1st

  • 10:59WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Roughingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 10:59UTAMacKenzie Weegar · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 12:25WSHDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 14:36UTASean Durzi · Slashingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min
  • 18:38WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:38UTABrandon Tanev · Boardingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min
  • 18:38WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 18:38WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
  • 18:38UTABrandon Tanev · Misconduct10 min

2nd

  • 5:40WSHJustin Sourdif · Roughingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 11:30WSHBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Tanev5 min
  • 11:30UTABrandon Tanev · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 15:14UTAClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Cole Hutson2 min
  • 18:46WSHTom Wilson · Interferencedrawn by Jack McBain2 min

3rd

  • 0:49UTALawson Crouse · Instigatordrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 0:49UTALawson Crouse · Fightingdrawn by Tom Wilson5 min
  • 0:49WSHTom Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Lawson Crouse5 min
  • 0:49UTALawson Crouse · Instigator misconduct10 min
  • 0:49UTAJack McBain · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalWSH goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 3rd 2:43 — WSH 48% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.64L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.40K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.38B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.31D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.29K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.22N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.22L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.18L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.13C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.11D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.11L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.10C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.09C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.09L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.07A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.07D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.07L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.06I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.06M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · Missed · xG 0.05J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.04M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.04D. But · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.03D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.03S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.02L. Cooley · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.02D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.01M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.01N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.00C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.00I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.00
UTA4 G · 5.9 xG · 69 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsUTA
3.36 G
All situations
4 G5.9
1.55 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.61 G
Power play
2 G2.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH9%91%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.20 – 5.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsUTA
25
Shots on goal
40
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
2/4
32
Penalty minutes
50
19
Hits
20
17
Blocked shots
10
15
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42M. FehérváryD011010.20230—20:52
6J. ChychrunD022+400.04210—20:22
21A. ProtasL000+220.910206020:03
38R. SandinD112020.06010—19:42
3M. RoyD000+110.03120—19:37
57T. van RiemsdykD011+320.02000—18:48
8A. OvechkinL303+351.01100—18:27
17D. StromeC022+310.020126018:07
72A. BeauvillierR112+130.471226717:24
24C. McMichaelL011-110.07110—16:45
80P. DuboisC000-100.070104715:56
9R. LeonardR000+130.31200—15:22
44C. HutsonD011000.02300—14:56
34J. SourdifC000+100.001024314:30
43T. WilsonR000-110.012221—11:41
22B. DuhaimeL000+200.00305—10:35
63I. MiroshnichenkoL202+130.05010—09:45
29H. LapierreC011+100.000006709:14
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(W)40364.9005.88+1.8860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).