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Mammoth at Capitals
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
FinalTV Utah16, MNMT2·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 3-2. The Mammoth scored first and never trailed. The Mammoth led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 18:24 of the second period, which took the Mammoth's chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Mammoth, 3.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were UTA 23, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 1 A), 2. Clayton Keller (2 A), 3. Ryan Leonard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    UTA
    C. Keller2 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    R. Leonard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
UTAUTA291806323
WSHWSH1607112225

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(28)
    C. Keller (41), N. Schmaltz (33)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:12
  2. UTA
    M. Sergachev(10)PPG
    C. Keller (42), D. Guenther (23)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:23
  3. WSH
    P. Dubois(4)PPG
    R. Sandin (19)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:27

2nd period

  1. UTA
    J. Peterka(21)PPG
    L. Cooley (11), S. Durzi (16)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:24

3rd period

  1. WSH
    R. Leonard(11)PPG
    D. Strome (33), J. Chychrun (27)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    6:31

Penalties

UTA 4 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 17:28UTAAlexander Kerfoot · Holding the stickdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min

2nd

  • 16:44WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

3rd

  • 6:02UTAJack McBain · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalUTA goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: JJ Peterka, 2nd 18:24 — UTA 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.21P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.20P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.19A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.19M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.17T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.14H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.11J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.10J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.07R. Leonard · Goal · xG 0.07P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.07M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.06C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.06P. Dubois · Goal · xG 0.06C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.03R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.03D. McIlrath · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.6 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsWSH
3.23 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.11 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.22 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA44%56%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.25 – 2.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
25
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/2
Power play
2/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
28
15
Blocked shots
36
10
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. MarinoD000010.02100—24:24
88N. SchmidtD000000.51150—22:58
50S. DurziD011+110.05100—19:51
98M. SergachevD101+140.18020—18:33
28I. ColeD000000.12000—18:27
8N. SchmaltzC011+120.350003317:49
11D. GuentherR112+130.29010—17:28
67L. CrouseL000020.49000—17:15
27B. HaytonC000000.001202017:12
22J. McBainC000020.1850210017:10
9C. KellerR022+120.15000—16:41
77J. PeterkaR101050.60000—14:22
92L. CooleyC011010.030005514:04
2O. MaattaD000000.00010—13:23
82K. StenlundC000000.002108612:49
15A. KerfootC000000.1121210012:46
56K. YamamotoR000000.00110—11:33
53M. CarconeL000000.09110—10:57
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)25232.9202.58+0.5859:50

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).