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New Jersey Devils at Nashville Predators

FinalTV FDSNSO, MSGSN2·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Nashville Predators 4-2. The Devils scored first and never trailed. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 14:07 of the third period, which took the Devils' chances from 56% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.9 to 2.3; shots on goal were NJD 30, NSH 17. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Justus Annunen stopped 26 of 29 (.897). Three stars: 1. Jack Hughes (2 A), 2. Nico Hischier (2 G), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    J. Hughes2 A
  2. ★★
    NJD
    N. Hischier2 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    S. Stamkos1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD19110211430
NSHNSH052606217

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:02

2nd period

  1. NJD
    J. Bratt (40), S. Nemec (15)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    9:13
  2. NSH
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:09
  3. NSH
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +20 ptsVideo
    2-2
    13:00

3rd period

  1. NJD
    J. Hughes (39), J. Bratt (41)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:07
  2. NJD
    T. Meier(21)EN
    wristxG 0.94win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:27

Penalties

NJD 2 PIM·NSH 26 PIM

2nd

  • 3:50NSHserved by L. Evangelista · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:27NJDJonas Siegenthaler · Trippingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min
  • 10:56NSHFedor Svechkov · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:46NSHMatthew Wood · Slashingdrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 19:27NSHSteven Stamkos · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00NSHLuke Evangelista · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalNJD goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, 3rd 14:07 — NJD 56% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.22S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.18R. Schaefer · Goal · xG 0.17R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.16T. Jost · Missed · xG 0.15S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.12E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.08M. Wood · Missed · xG 0.08N. Perbix · On goal · xG 0.08J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.07N. Perbix · Missed · xG 0.07S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.06N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04T. Jost · On goal · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ufko · Missed · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.01E. Haula · Missed · xG 0.01A. Wilsby · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH2 G · 2.3 xG · 30 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNSH
3.93 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD53%47%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNSH
30
Shots on goal
17
65%
Faceoffs
35%
1/3
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
26
21
Hits
13
17
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
86J. HughesC022+170.660006323:08
7D. HamiltonD000+120.09120—22:38
16C. BrownR011+100.00000—20:36
43L. HughesD000+130.06010—20:21
71J. SiegenthalerD022+110.17132—20:03
5B. DillonD000-100.00520—19:31
63J. BrattL123+110.63020—18:41
28T. MeierR101+141.233205018:39
13N. HischierC202+230.330107118:06
8J. KovacevicD000000.00200—17:25
17S. NemecD011010.01120—17:18
91D. MercerC000010.43000016:01
12C. GlassC000-100.010105613:25
29L. HameenahoR000-120.14100—12:34
33E. DadonovL000010.08000—12:06
42M. TsyplakovR000030.01310—09:28
72N. BjugstadC000-110.024006009:24
47P. CotterL000000.0000010008:36
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)17152.8822.33+0.3360:00

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).