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Nashville Predators at New Jersey Devils

Final/OTTV FDSNSO, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in overtime, Nico Hischier scoring at 0:42. The Predators scored first; the Devils answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nico Hischier's goal at 0:42 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NSH 2.9, NJD 2.9; shots on goal were NSH 29, NJD 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 32 of 35 (.914); Jacob Markstrom stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nico Hischier (1 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (27 saves, .931), 3. Jesper Bratt (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    N. Hischier1 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    J. Markstrom27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    J. Bratt1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NSHNSH170131900229
NJDNJD0131131811335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    wrap-aroundxG 0.45win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:07

2nd period

  1. NJD
    snapxG 0.12win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:01

3rd period

  1. NSH
    snapxG 0.13win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:34
  2. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.07win prob +33 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:42

Overtime

  1. NJD
    slapxG 0.08win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    0:42

Penalties

NSH 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:50NSHAdam Wilsby · Slashingdrawn by Lenni Hameenaho2 min
  • 12:09NJDDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Tyson Jost2 min

3rd

  • 6:08NSHCole Smith · Hookingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min
  • 12:35NJDArseny Gritsyuk · Trippingdrawn by Luke Evangelista2 min
  • 15:19NSHCole Smith · High stickingdrawn by Arseny Gritsyuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalNSH goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Nico Hischier, OT 0:42 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.21T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.19N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.18C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.15T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.12L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.11D. Mercer · Missed · xG 0.11C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.11N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.08N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.08D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.07J. Bratt · Goal · xG 0.07P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.06D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.06L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.05A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.05N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · Missed · xG 0.04L. Hameenaho · Missed · xG 0.04C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.04C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.04J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · Missed · xG 0.03B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02C. Brown · Missed · xG 0.02A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.02N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.02P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Kovacevic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Kovacevic · Missed · xG 0.01S. Nemec · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.01B. Pesce · On goal · xG 0.01A. Gritsyuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01L. Hameenaho · On goal · xG 0.00J. Siegenthaler · Missed · xG 0.00
NJD3 G · 2.9 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsNJD
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.7
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH50%50%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.85 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsNJD
29
Shots on goal
35
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
17
Hits
27
14
Blocked shots
19
16
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000000.01000—28:27
59R. JosiD000-130.17030—28:08
90R. O'ReillyC000+120.350006722:04
9F. ForsbergL101+140.63110—19:26
77L. EvangelistaR000020.18100—18:30
48N. PerbixD000000.02000—16:57
37N. BlankenburgD000010.10100—16:52
47M. McCarronC101010.503403516:28
83A. WilsbyD011020.06012—16:03
36C. SmithR011000.00114—16:00
56E. HaulaL000-110.071006015:58
81J. MarchessaultR011030.25100—15:14
91S. StamkosC000-250.392106014:08
58M. BuntingL000-120.06010—12:50
20J. BarronD000010.02210—11:39
17T. JostC000020.02000010:10
89O. WiesblattC000000.00310009:20
71M. WoodR000000.031004007:52
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29J. Annunen(O)35323.9142.88-0.1260:42

Season series

NJD leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).