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Kraken at Lightning
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
▸4
Tampa Bay Lightning
3
Final/OTTV The Spot, KHN/Prime·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Seattle Kraken beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 in overtime, Brandon Montour scoring at 2:47. The Kraken scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Montour's goal at 2:47 of overtime, which took the Kraken's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 1.7; shots on goal were SEA 20, TBL 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 30 of 33 (.909); Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 16 of 20 (.800), 2.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brandon Montour (2 G), 2. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A), 3. Bobby McMann (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SEA
    B. Montour2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    B. McMann1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
SEASEA28170411420
TBLTBL1621501101333

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SEA
    B. Montour(9)
    F. Gaudreau (17), O. Fisker Molgaard (2)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    15:18
  2. TBL
    A. Cirelli(20)
    B. Hagel (37), C. D'Astous (19)
    snapxG 0.27win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:01
  3. SEA
    K. Kakko(12)
    C. Stephenson (28), B. McMann (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    18:12

2nd period

  1. SEA
    B. McMann(25)
    K. Kakko (20), A. Larsson (16)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-1
    3:35
  2. TBL
    J. Guentzel(33)
    D. Raddysh (45), C. D'Astous (20)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:56
  3. TBL
    C. Perry(14)PPG
    J. Guentzel (43), N. Kucherov (81)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:18

Overtime

  1. SEA
    B. Montour(10)
    S. Wright (15), B. Catton (9)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    2:47

Penalties

SEA 13 PIM·TBL 13 PIM

1st

  • 13:08TBLEmil Lilleberg · Holdingdrawn by Oscar Fisker Molgaard2 min

2nd

  • 2:16SEABerkly Catton · Fightingdrawn by J.J. Moser5 min
  • 2:16TBLJ.J. Moser · Fightingdrawn by Berkly Catton5 min
  • 6:59TBLPontus Holmberg · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 6:59TBLPontus Holmberg · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Montour2 min
  • 6:59SEABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 6:59SEABrandon Montour · Roughingdrawn by Pontus Holmberg2 min
  • 8:20SEARyker Evans · Cross checkingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 14:32TBLCorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 14:32SEAVince Dunn · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalSEA goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Montour, OT 2:47 — SEA 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Cirelli · Goal · xG 0.27P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.18B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.17G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.16B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.15J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.14Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.10P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.08C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.08B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.08P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.07G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.06B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.05P. Holmberg · Missed · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.04N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Girgensons · Missed · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.02E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.02C. D'Astous · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holmberg · On goal · xG 0.02D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01B. Point · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.00G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.00D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL3 G · 2.8 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsTBL
1.74 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
0.40 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA30%70%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.67 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsTBL
20
Shots on goal
33
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/1
Power play
1/1
13
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
19
27
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD011000.00630—25:17
9C. StephensonC011+200.090103824:18
62B. MontourD202+250.33034—23:04
29V. DunnD000+120.03112—21:40
74B. McMannC112+130.48200020:45
10M. BeniersC000-220.261202920:19
55R. LindgrenD000010.02050—19:59
7J. EberleR000-100.00100—18:50
27B. CattonC011010.06105018:21
89F. GaudreauC011+120.041303816:26
41R. EvansD000+110.08122—15:48
84K. KakkoR112+110.11010—15:23
20E. TolvanenR000000.00220—14:51
78O. Fisker MolgaardC011+110.041207511:46
59B. MeyersC000+110.1320010011:18
51S. WrightC011+100.000104010:56
24J. OleksiakD000000.00110—08:26
8C. FleuryD000-100.00000—06:56
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)33303.9092.75-0.2562:47

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).