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Lightning at Kraken
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸6
Seattle Kraken
2
FinalTV TNT, HBO MAX·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Seattle Kraken 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nikita Kucherov's goal at 18:49 of the first period, which took the Lightning's chances from 60% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were TBL 26, SEA 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Philipp Grubauer stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (3 G, 2 A), 2. Brandon Hagel (1 G, 3 A), 3. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov3 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Hagel1 G, 3 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL2916311626
SEASEA042905218

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    G. Goncalves(11)
    B. Point (28), J. Guentzel (41)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:45
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(35)
    B. Hagel (30)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:49

2nd period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(36)
    A. Cirelli (26), B. Hagel (31)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    0:57
  2. SEA
    B. McMann(23)
    M. Beniers (26)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    1:07
  3. SEA
    J. McCann(18)
    J. Eberle (27), P. Grubauer (2)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:46

3rd period

  1. TBL
    A. Cirelli(16)
    N. Kucherov (73), B. Hagel (32)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    4:35
  2. TBL
    B. Hagel(31)PPG
    G. Goncalves (15), N. Kucherov (74)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +1 ptsVideo
    5-2
    16:54
  3. TBL
    N. Kucherov(37)EN
    A. Cirelli (27)
    wristxG 0.93Video
    6-2
    17:16

Penalties

TBL 11 PIM·SEA 11 PIM

1st

  • 12:42SEAShane Wright · Holdingdrawn by Yanni Gourde2 min
  • 14:35SEARyker Evans · Trippingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 16:35TBLCorey Perry · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Lindgren2 min

2nd

  • 7:42TBLDarren Raddysh · Cross checkingdrawn by Bobby McMann2 min
  • 10:28TBLCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Winterton2 min

3rd

  • 0:41TBLYanni Gourde · Fightingdrawn by Ben Meyers5 min
  • 0:41SEABen Meyers · Fightingdrawn by Yanni Gourde5 min
  • 15:06SEABobby McMann · Boardingdrawn by Charle-Edouard D'Astous2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalTBL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Nikita Kucherov, 1st 18:49 — TBL 60% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.22J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.18F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.12J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.12R. Winterton · On goal · xG 0.09B. McMann · Goal · xG 0.08J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.08B. Catton · On goal · xG 0.07J. Melanson · Missed · xG 0.07B. McMann · Missed · xG 0.05S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.05C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lindgren · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.01M. Beniers · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01B. McMann · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.01J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.01C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 1.5 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSEA
3.15 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.74 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL64%36%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 1.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSEA
26
Shots on goal
18
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
21
Hits
23
7
Blocked shots
20
16
Giveaways
21
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD000+150.10112—22:10
27R. McDonaghD000+210.08000—21:17
86N. KucherovR325+371.47100—19:49
59J. GuentzelC011+120.121005019:39
90J. MoserD000+100.01000—19:11
21B. PointC011+100.110103318:46
51C. D'AstousD000020.05412—17:59
38B. HagelL134+320.21020—17:21
77V. HedmanD000000.07010—17:14
81E. CernakD000+100.00000—16:27
71A. CirelliC123+220.360005315:48
22O. BjorkstrandR000010.11010—15:01
20N. PaulL000000.131005013:34
10C. PerryR000000.03202—13:06
93G. GoncalvesC112020.18500012:58
37Y. GourdeC000000.001057512:07
28Z. GirgensonsC000020.063008312:05
29P. HolmbergR000000.00200—10:25
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)18162.8891.52-0.4859:03

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).