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Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Washington Capitals 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Snuggerud's goal at 2:39 of the second period, which took the Blues' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.5 to 2.3; shots on goal were WSH 21, STL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Joel Hofer stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Otto Stenberg (1 G), 2. Joel Hofer (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Jimmy Snuggerud (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    O. Stenberg1 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Hofer21 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Snuggerud1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH080508021
STLSTL0419214327

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. STL
    slapxG 0.08win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:39

3rd period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.17win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:52
  2. STL
    J. Kyrou(17)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.95Video
    0-3
    19:19

Penalties

WSH 18 PIM·STL 17 PIM

1st

  • 7:46STLTheo Lindstein · Hookingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 13:45WSHJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
  • 19:12STLJake Neighbours · Slashingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

2nd

  • 7:38STLOtto Stenberg · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Leonard5 min
  • 7:38WSHRyan Leonard · Fightingdrawn by Otto Stenberg5 min
  • 12:04WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 12:04WSHTom Wilson · Roughingdrawn by Jimmy Snuggerud2 min
  • 12:04STLJimmy Snuggerud · Roughingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 12:04STLRobert Thomas · Roughingdrawn by Cole Hutson2 min
  • 14:34WSHConnor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min

3rd

  • 8:25WSHPierre-Luc Dubois · Match penaltydrawn by Robert Thomas5 min
  • 8:25STLRobert Thomas · Interferencedrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 10:38STLserved by J. Neighbours · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWSH goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Snuggerud, 2nd 2:39 — STL 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.95R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.52P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.31P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.25P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.20O. Stenberg · Goal · xG 0.17D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17P. Suter · Missed · xG 0.14J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13L. Mailloux · On goal · xG 0.12J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.12L. Mailloux · Missed · xG 0.11J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.10R. Thomas · Missed · xG 0.09J. Snuggerud · Goal · xG 0.08J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.08P. Broberg · Missed · xG 0.08D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.07J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.07D. Holloway · Missed · xG 0.06D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.06D. Dvorsky · Missed · xG 0.06J. Berggren · Missed · xG 0.06J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.05J. Snuggerud · Missed · xG 0.04C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.02P. Broberg · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lindstein · Missed · xG 0.01C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01J. Holl · On goal · xG 0.01J. Snuggerud · On goal · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.01J. Finley · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.00A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL3 G · 4.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsSTL
2.30 G
All situations
2 G4.5
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH36%64%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsSTL
21
Shots on goal
27
58%
Faceoffs
42%
0/2
Power play
0/3
18
Penalty minutes
17
17
Hits
18
19
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD000-240.22012—23:08
21A. ProtasL000-100.02020—21:36
44C. HutsonD000-130.08000—21:12
3M. RoyD000010.04310—20:35
43T. WilsonR000-130.60214—19:55
34J. SourdifC000020.370103317:54
42M. FehérváryD000-110.04340—17:45
24C. McMichaelL000000.0111210017:35
57T. van RiemsdykD000000.04000—17:08
17D. StromeC000-210.220208216:57
38R. SandinD000-210.10030—16:32
80P. DuboisC000010.1110153015:50
8A. OvechkinL000-120.14200—14:31
9R. LeonardR000-200.00215—13:54
72A. BeauvillierR000020.0701010012:34
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000-100.11300—09:22
22B. DuhaimeL000-100.17010—09:20
29H. LapierreC000-100.00000007:05
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)26242.9233.19+1.1958:07

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).