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St. Louis Blues at Washington Capitals

FinalTV TNT, truTV·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the St. Louis Blues 6-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 2:39 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 69% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 2.2; shots on goal were STL 24, WSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Joel Hofer stopped 15 of 17 (.882); Logan Thompson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G), 2. John Carlson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Beauvillier (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Beauvillier2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0501019124
WSHWSH11248112632

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(7)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:50

2nd period

  1. WSH
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:39
  2. WSH
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:33
  3. WSH
    snapxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-4
    9:28
  4. WSH
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.04win prob +1 ptsVideo
    0-5
    16:20

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.05Video
    1-5
    0:37
  2. WSH
    1-6
    9:00

Penalties

STL 11 PIM·WSH 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:41STLColton Parayko · Cross checkingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min
  • 14:23WSHMatt Roy · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

2nd

  • 9:06WSHBrandon Duhaime · Fightingdrawn by Brayden Schenn5 min
  • 9:06STLBrayden Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime5 min
  • 10:28WSHDylan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 12:14STLPius Suter · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 13:50WSHTom Wilson · Cross checkingdrawn by Philip Broberg2 min
  • 18:58STLserved by J. Kyrou · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalSTL goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 2nd 2:39 — WSH 69% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.36A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.29A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.22T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.17N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.17S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.16J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.14C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.12T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.11C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.10S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.09N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.09H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.07H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.07T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.05J. Sourdif · Missed · xG 0.05J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.04T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.04R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.02S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH6 G · 3.8 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsWSH
2.21 G
All situations
6 G3.8
1.60 G
Even strength
5 G2.8
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL25%75%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.79

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
32
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/3
Power play
1/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
27
Hits
8
22
Blocked shots
14
16
Giveaways
18
3
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72J. FaulkD000-120.01040—25:07
55C. ParaykoD000000.00242—21:26
6P. BrobergD000020.19030—20:16
17C. FowlerD011-210.01010—18:33
81D. HollowayL000-330.22510—17:41
21J. SnuggerudR000020.21100—17:39
54D. DvorskyR000-120.242201416:48
89P. BuchnevichL000010.25010—16:44
25J. KyrouR000-220.35000—16:43
22P. SuterC011-120.330025016:26
18R. ThomasC000010.120005016:23
75T. TuckerD000-200.05310—15:35
26N. WalkerL000-210.04320—15:08
10B. SchennC000-100.00205014:10
23L. MaillouxD000-310.02110—13:52
13A. ToropchenkoR101-110.05600—12:53
77N. BjugstadC000-120.030106712:44
70O. SundqvistC000-110.12210007:43
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30J. Hofer17152.8822.27+0.2730:32
50J. Binnington(L)15114.7331.54-2.4629:28

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).