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Avalanche at Penguins
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸6
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
FinalTV SN-PIT, ALT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 6-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Malinski's goal at 15:24 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 46% to 61%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 30, PIT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Scott Wedgewood stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.6 goals saved above expected; Arturs Silovs stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (2 G), 2. Sam Malinski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Scott Wedgewood (30 saves, .938).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    S. Malinski1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    S. Wedgewood30 saves, .938

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL4161519630
PITPIT11107114232

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(46)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.26win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:57
  2. PIT
    E. Chinakhov(17)
    S. Girard (11), K. Letang (25)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    8:09
  3. COL
    S. Malinski(4)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    15:24
  4. COL
    M. Necas(33)PPG
    C. Makar (51), B. Nelson (26)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:44
  5. COL
    P. Kelly(16)
    L. O'Connor (1), N. Kadri (32)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:19

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(34)
    D. Toews (17), S. Malinski (27)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +3 ptsVideo
    5-1
    17:29

3rd period

  1. PIT
    R. Rakell(15)
    S. Crosby (36), B. Rust (32)
    wristxG 0.21Video
    5-2
    11:47
  2. COL
    R. Colton(9)EN
    V. Nichushkin (26), J. Drury (14)
    wristxG 0.47Video
    6-2
    16:20

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·PIT 8 PIM

1st

  • 16:39PITNoel Acciari · Trippingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min

2nd

  • 8:25COLNazem Kadri · High sticking double minordrawn by Tommy Novak4 min

3rd

  • 1:57COLBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 2:54COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 4:01COLLogan O'Connor · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 4:01PITAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min
  • 5:28PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Gabriel Landeskog2 min
  • 6:49PITBryan Rust · Hookingdrawn by Brock Nelson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCOL goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Malinski, 1st 15:24 — COL 46% → 61%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.36R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.21R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.18B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.17A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.17S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.16E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.16A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.15E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.14E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.13T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.13E. Chinakhov · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.11R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.11A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.10J. Brazeau · On goal · xG 0.10B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.09T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.07R. Shea · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05E. Soderblom · Missed · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.03R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.03E. Chinakhov · Goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kindel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02R. Shea · Missed · xG 0.02C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Clifton · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · Missed · xG 0.00E. Soderblom · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT2 G · 3.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsPIT
2.25 G
All situations
2 G3.6
1.34 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.41 G
Power play
0 G1.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL19%81%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 3.56

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsPIT
30
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
16
20
Blocked shots
10
23
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011-120.07050—22:04
27B. KulakD000-110.06030—21:53
7D. ToewsD011+310.04020—19:29
29N. MacKinnonC101+120.540004419:03
42J. MansonD000+130.05212—18:29
70S. MalinskiD112+330.09100—17:29
84B. BurnsD000+120.04012—17:28
92G. LandeskogL000030.071406016:27
88M. NecasC202+120.32100016:20
91N. KadriC011+220.090144016:12
11B. NelsonC011+110.041005715:50
25L. O'ConnorR011+100.00102—15:05
13V. NichushkinR011+130.06110—14:58
18J. DruryC011+110.034006714:06
17P. KellyC101+120.06010013:21
20R. ColtonC101010.5211010011:50
94J. KivirantaL000000.00100—11:15
93Z. BardakovC000010.10000010:41
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41S. Wedgewood(W)32302.9383.63+1.6360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).