Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 13:00 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 20, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).
Three stars
- ★E. Malkin2 G, 1 A

- ★★E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A

- ★★★B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
9 goals1st period
1-03:01
1-14:08
2-14:23
3-113:00
4-113:43
4-214:21
2nd period
5-210:36
6-216:20
3rd period
7-29:06
Penalties
1st
- 0:48
Evgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
- 5:33
Ville Koivunen · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
- 8:39
Jack Drury · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
2nd
- 3:30
Anthony Mantha · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
- 11:11
Arturs Silovs · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
- 13:30
Nicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
- 15:40
served by Gavin Brindley · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 10:59
Evgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
- 10:59
Parker Kelly · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
- 10:59
Connor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Jack Drury5 min
- 10:59
Jack Drury · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 1st 13:00 — 60% → 76%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.17 G
- All situations
- 2 G3.5
- 1.46 G
- Even strength
- 2 G2.8
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.43
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 20
- Shots on goal
- 27
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/4
- 15
- Penalty minutes
- 13
- 19
- Hits
- 11
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 12
- 18
- Giveaways
- 16
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
7@
2this game
6@
2Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















