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Penguins at Avalanche
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ESPN, SN-PIT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-2. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evgeni Malkin's goal at 13:00 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 60% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.5 to 2.1; shots on goal were PIT 20, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Arturs Silovs stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 11 of 15 (.733), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Evgeni Malkin (2 G, 1 A), 2. Erik Karlsson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Bryan Rust (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    E. Malkin2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    E. Karlsson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    B. Rust1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT472815720
COLCOL2170406227

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    B. Rust (28), N. Acciari (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:01
  2. COL
    M. Necas (50), C. Makar (49)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:08
  3. PIT
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:23
  4. PIT
    wristxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:00
  5. PIT
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    4-1
    13:43
  6. COL
    snapxG 0.01win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-2
    14:21

2nd period

  1. PIT
    R. Shea (24)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +10 ptsVideo
    5-2
    10:36
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(25)PPG
    E. Malkin (35), R. Rakell (19)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-2
    16:20

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.16Video
    7-2
    9:06

Penalties

PIT 15 PIM·COL 13 PIM

1st

  • 0:48PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 5:33PITVille Koivunen · Cross checkingdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min
  • 8:39COLJack Drury · Interferencedrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 3:30PITAnthony Mantha · Holdingdrawn by Josh Manson2 min
  • 11:11PITArturs Silovs · Trippingdrawn by Nicolas Roy2 min
  • 13:30COLNicolas Roy · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Shea2 min
  • 15:40COLserved by Gavin Brindley · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 10:59PITEvgeni Malkin · Roughingdrawn by Parker Kelly2 min
  • 10:59COLParker Kelly · Roughingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min
  • 10:59PITConnor Clifton · Fightingdrawn by Jack Drury5 min
  • 10:59COLJack Drury · Fightingdrawn by Connor Clifton5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalPIT goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Evgeni Malkin, 1st 13:00 — PIT 60% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.33B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.33Z. Bardakov · Missed · xG 0.25B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.23B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.14B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.11M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.08M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.08C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.08V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.07N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.06G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.06J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.05S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.05N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.05D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.05N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.04C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.03J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.03G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.02D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01
COL2 G · 3.5 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCOL
2.17 G
All situations
2 G3.5
1.46 G
Even strength
2 G2.8
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT27%73%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCOL
20
Shots on goal
27
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/3
Power play
0/4
15
Penalty minutes
13
19
Hits
11
19
Blocked shots
12
18
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5R. SheaD011+100.00100—23:39
65E. KarlssonD123+240.08000—21:44
28P. WotherspoonD011+200.06310—20:48
58K. LetangD000010.04110—20:14
59E. ChinakhovR011010.20020—17:09
17B. RustR112+130.26000—17:05
55N. AcciariC112+320.320405016:36
67R. RakellR011+110.381105016:23
71E. MalkinC213+130.280045016:18
19C. DewarC022+310.100206716:12
75C. CliftonD000+200.02515—16:07
18T. NovakC000000.000304515:29
39A. ManthaR101010.14012—14:57
81B. KindelC000000.002105013:57
7I. SolovyovD000+110.04200—13:21
16J. BrazeauR000010.07300—11:52
41V. KoivunenR000000.00012—10:09
25E. SoderblomL112+310.08110—10:00
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37A. Silovs(W)27252.9263.53+1.5360:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).