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Hurricanes at Canadiens
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Carolina Hurricanes 5-2. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Juraj Slafkovský's goal at 9:19 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 3.9 to 3.3; shots on goal were CAR 43, MTL 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 14 of 18 (.778), 1.3 goals below expected; Jakub Dobes stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (41 saves, .953), 2. Ivan Demidov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Dobes41 saves, .953
  2. ★★
    MTL
    I. Demidov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR216010017243
MTLMTL1421124519

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    N. Ehlers(22)PPG
    snapxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:36
  2. CAR
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:09
  3. MTL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:11

2nd period

  1. MTL
    snapxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:49
  2. MTL
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:19

3rd period

  1. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.42win prob +11 ptsVideo
    2-4
    13:53
  2. MTL
    J. Evans(11)EN
    snapxG 0.37Video
    2-5
    19:00

Penalties

CAR 8 PIM·MTL 6 PIM

1st

  • 1:37MTLJosh Anderson · Interferencedrawn by William Carrier2 min
  • 19:59CARSebastian Aho · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min

2nd

  • 1:21CARK'Andre Miller · Trippingdrawn by Nick Suzuki2 min
  • 17:56MTLKaiden Guhle · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 17:56CARJordan Martinook · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Gallagher2 min
  • 19:02CARSean Walker · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

3rd

  • 8:17MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCAR goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Juraj Slafkovský, 2nd 9:19 — MTL 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.46I. Demidov · Goal · xG 0.42J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.37J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.36J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.32P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.29C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.24J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.16O. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.13A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.12C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.12L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09O. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.08J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.07N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.07O. Kapanen · Goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.02A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.00N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.00M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 3.9 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsMTL
3.32 G
All situations
4 G3.9
2.31 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR60%40%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 2.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsMTL
43
Shots on goal
19
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/2
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
19
Hits
22
11
Blocked shots
23
16
Giveaways
12
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-140.10010—22:19
20S. AhoC000-220.511126421:25
24S. JarvisR011-350.67010—20:51
21A. NikishinD000030.06040—20:49
26S. WalkerD000-240.09312—19:53
5J. ChatfieldD000030.21100—19:20
19K. MillerD000-330.11002—19:10
37A. SvechnikovR011-200.02400—17:54
11J. StaalC101-120.244105416:57
53J. BlakeR000-240.28000—16:46
27N. EhlersL101-150.27000—16:42
71T. HallL000-220.23100—15:51
22L. StankovenC000-220.191004414:36
48J. MartinookL000010.10212—13:12
6M. ReillyD000010.01010—12:22
77M. JankowskiL000010.090004609:59
50E. RobinsonL000000.01100—09:03
28W. CarrierL000010.11100—08:05
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(L)18144.7782.73-1.2756:46

Season series

MTL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).