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Canadiens at Hurricanes
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
▸3
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV FDSNSO, TSN2·Lenovo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-1. The Hurricanes scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Caufield's goal at 17:32 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 47% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 4.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were MTL 18, CAR 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jakub Dobes stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 3.1 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 15 of 18 (.833). Three stars: 1. Jakub Dobes (34 saves, .971), 2. Nick Suzuki (2 G, 1 A), 3. Cole Caufield (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    J. Dobes34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    C. Caufield1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL063804318
CARCAR11301408135

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    A. Svechnikov(26)PPG
    S. Jarvis (32), S. Aho (49)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:37

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(25)
    C. Caufield (33), L. Hutson (61)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:18
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(46)
    N. Suzuki (65), L. Hutson (62)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +22 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:32
  3. MTL
    N. Suzuki(26)PPG
    J. Slafkovský (36), I. Demidov (41)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:53

Penalties

MTL 6 PIM·CAR 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:52MTLKaiden Guhle · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Martinook2 min
  • 14:43CARNikolaj Ehlers · Roughingdrawn by Kaiden Guhle2 min

2nd

  • 12:34CARserved by J. Blake · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:45CAREric Robinson · Trippingdrawn by Noah Dobson2 min

3rd

  • 0:29MTLNick Suzuki · Trippingdrawn by Andrei Svechnikov2 min
  • 5:16CARAndrei Svechnikov · Hookingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 13:43MTLserved by Ivan Demidov · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalMTL goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Cole Caufield, 2nd 17:32 — MTL 47% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.25L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.24S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.21J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.14J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.14J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.13T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.13N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.13J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.12S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.12S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.11J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.11L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.11J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.08N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.07A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.06S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.06S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.06L. Stankoven · Missed · xG 0.06S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.06J. Blake · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.05A. Svechnikov · Goal · xG 0.04S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.03S. Jarvis · On goal · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.03J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Nikishin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.02K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.02L. Stankoven · On goal · xG 0.02K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.01A. Svechnikov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Nikishin · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 4.1 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsCAR
2.63 G
All situations
1 G4.1
0.92 G
Even strength
0 G3.2
1.61 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL26%74%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.43 – 4.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsCAR
18
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
29
32
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD000000.00030—23:23
53N. DobsonD000040.15130—22:07
14N. SuzukiC213+250.831124420:17
20J. SlafkovskýL011+220.23120—19:49
21K. GuhleD000000.00212—19:42
48L. HutsonD022+200.24040—19:31
45A. CarrierD000+100.00140—19:05
71J. EvansC000000.025204017:55
15A. NewhookC000010.012107117:14
13C. CaufieldR112+230.80000—15:45
91O. KapanenC000010.140203315:41
24P. DanaultC000000.002303815:34
93I. DemidovR011000.03000—15:20
76Z. BolducR000020.0800010014:11
90J. VelenoC000000.000303312:41
11B. GallagherR000000.03010—11:27
47J. StrubleD000+100.00110—10:30
72A. XhekajD000000.00510—05:11
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
75J. Dobes(W)35341.9714.08+3.0860:00

Season series

MTL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).