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Sabres at Ducks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
5
Anaheim Ducks
▸6
Final/OTTV KTTV, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-5 in overtime, Troy Terry scoring at 1:29. The lead changed hands 4 times. The Ducks led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Troy Terry's goal at 1:29 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.8 to 2.9; shots on goal were BUF 29, ANA 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 33 (.818), 2.2 goals below expected; Ville Husso stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Troy Terry (2 G), 2. Mikael Granlund (1 G), 3. Zach Benson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    T. Terry2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    M. Granlund1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    Z. Benson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF211093900529
ANAANA2142311511633

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(29)
    O. Power (18)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    3:36
  2. ANA
    C. Kreider(22)PPG
    L. Carlsson (33)
    snapxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:27
  3. ANA
    J. LaCombe(9)PPG
    M. McTavish (20), B. Sennecke (33)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-2
    12:23
  4. BUF
    J. Doan(23)
    N. Ostlund (16), B. Byram (26)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    17:14

2nd period

  1. ANA
    B. Sennecke(21)
    J. LaCombe (40)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:35
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(15)
    T. Washe (3), O. Zellweger (13)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    15:40

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J. Quinn(17)
    R. Dahlin (49), Z. Benson (25)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-4
    4:40
  2. BUF
    O. Power(8)
    R. McLeod (38)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +31 ptsVideo
    4-4
    10:05
  3. BUF
    Z. Benson(9)
    R. Dahlin (50), B. Malenstyn (7)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +35 ptsVideo
    5-4
    11:37
  4. ANA
    M. Granlund(14)PPG
    C. Kreider (22), L. Carlsson (34)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +40 ptsVideo
    5-5
    18:16

Overtime

  1. ANA
    T. Terry(16)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    1:29

Penalties

BUF 8 PIM·ANA 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:01BUFserved by J. Quinn · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 11:09BUFAlex Lyon · Holdingdrawn by Alex Killorn2 min
  • 13:27ANATim Washe · Trippingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

2nd

  • 10:06ANAJeffrey Viel · Roughingdrawn by Zach Metsa2 min
  • 13:14ANABeckett Sennecke · Trippingdrawn by Zach Benson2 min

3rd

  • 1:03BUFBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min
  • 17:26BUFAlex Tuch · Trippingdrawn by Beckett Sennecke2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalBUF goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Troy Terry, OT 1:29 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.18T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.18B. Sennecke · Goal · xG 0.18L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.17A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.16L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.15M. Granlund · Goal · xG 0.14J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.13J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.12T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.12T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.12B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.12L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Harkins · On goal · xG 0.09M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.09M. McTavish · Missed · xG 0.09P. Mintyukov · On goal · xG 0.08C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.08T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.07T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.07L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.06J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.06J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.05C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · Goal · xG 0.03M. McTavish · On goal · xG 0.03I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02P. Mintyukov · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01T. Washe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Sennecke · On goal · xG 0.01I. Moore · On goal · xG 0.01J. Viel · Missed · xG 0.01R. Poehling · Missed · xG 0.01J. Harkins · Missed · xG 0.00O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA6 G · 3.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsANA
2.95 G
All situations
6 G3.8
2.65 G
Even strength
3 G3.2
0.40 G
Power play
3 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 105 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF35%65%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.87 – 3.82

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsANA
29
Shots on goal
33
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
3/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
12
Hits
23
8
Blocked shots
13
11
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD022+140.24100—25:18
23M. SamuelssonD000010.15100—22:44
72T. ThompsonC000000.131105522:02
89A. TuchR101+120.36002—21:31
25O. PowerD112+210.03010—21:01
4B. ByramD011+220.23022—19:55
19P. KrebsC000000.002006716:21
91J. DoanR101+120.13200—15:40
71R. McLeodC011+110.100106715:33
9J. NorrisC000020.091006215:07
86N. OstlundC011+200.080003314:42
22J. QuinnR101020.31100—14:40
17J. ZuckerL000010.20100—14:21
64L. StanleyD000030.09000—14:01
10S. CarrickC000030.131005712:20
73Z. MetsaD000000.03020—12:13
6Z. BensonL112+120.51000—12:07
29B. MalenstynL011+130.1411010010:33
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(O)33276.8183.84-2.1661:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).