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Golden Knights at Stars
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
▸3
Dallas Stars
2
FinalTV NHLN, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Dallas Stars 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Reilly Smith's goal at 16:22 of the third period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Golden Knights, 4.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 33, DAL 15. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 83% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 13 of 15 (.867); Casey DeSmith stopped 30 of 33 (.909), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Reilly Smith (1 G), 2. Adin Hill (13 saves, .867), 3. Wyatt Johnston (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    R. Smith1 G
  2. ★★
    VGK
    A. Hill13 saves, .867
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    W. Johnston1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK17111115333
DALDAL260306215

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    B. McNabb(4)
    K. Kolesar (11), S. Theodore (25)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:01
  2. DAL
    W. Johnston(38)PPG
    M. Duchene (21), M. Heiskanen (50)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:55
  3. DAL
    J. Hryckowian(11)
    C. Blackwell (9), S. Steel (21)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    16:48

2nd period

  1. VGK
    I. Barbashev(20)PPG
    B. Howden (8), C. Sissons (5)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-2
    9:10

3rd period

  1. VGK
    R. Smith(12)
    M. Marner (51), P. Dorofeyev (24)
    snapxG 0.40win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-2
    16:22

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:48VGKJeremy Lauzon · Trippingdrawn by Jason Robertson2 min

2nd

  • 2:19DALMiro Heiskanen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:40DALNils Lundkvist · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 11:41VGKJack Eichel · High sticking double minordrawn by Mavrik Bourque4 min
  • 15:52DALserved by M. Bunting · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:46DALJamie Benn · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVGK goalFinal: DAL 0%

Biggest swing: Reilly Smith, 3rd 16:22 — VGK 48% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.39J. Hryckowian · Goal · xG 0.23W. Johnston · Goal · xG 0.18M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.13M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.12J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12A. Hyry · On goal · xG 0.12M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.09M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.08M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.08S. Steel · Missed · xG 0.07M. Bourque · Missed · xG 0.06O. Bäck · On goal · xG 0.06W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.06C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.05I. Lyubushkin · Missed · xG 0.04W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04I. Lyubushkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.03S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.02S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Hyry · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.00M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.0 xG · 25 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsDAL
4.23 G
All situations
2 G2.0
3.12 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
1.11 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK83%17%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.16 – 2.00

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsDAL
33
Shots on goal
15
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
26
Hits
24
12
Blocked shots
25
14
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
93M. MarnerR011+150.431306322:14
4R. AnderssonD000050.68020—21:50
27S. TheodoreD011010.04010—21:28
16P. DorofeyevR011+120.49000—19:25
3B. McNabbD101+120.26320—19:12
9J. EichelC000020.222043319:01
61M. StoneR000010.39000—17:32
15N. HanifinD000+100.00000—16:58
5J. LauzonD000010.02412—16:00
49I. BarbashevL101030.51000—15:26
19R. SmithR101+120.45100—14:48
48T. HertlC000010.111005814:41
55K. KolesarR011010.01400—14:13
6K. KorczakD000010.01120—13:31
10C. SissonsC011030.2220010013:13
21B. HowdenC011010.1320010012:48
22C. SmithR000000.00400—12:13
26N. DowdC000020.231102510:20
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(W)15132.8672.02+0.0260:00

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).