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Golden Knights at Stars
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FOX4, Victory+·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Vegas Golden Knights 2-1. The Golden Knights scored first; the Stars answered. The Stars led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oskar Bäck's goal at 10:41 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 34% to 53%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.9 to 2.0; shots on goal were VGK 27, DAL 16. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Adin Hill stopped 14 of 16 (.875); Jake Oettinger stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Oettinger (26 saves, .963), 2. Jamie Benn (1 G), 3. Colin Blackwell (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    J. Oettinger26 saves, .963
  2. ★★
    DAL
    J. Benn1 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    C. Blackwell1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VGKVGK0411409127
DALDAL032904216

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:31
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:41
  3. DAL
    J. Benn(12)PPG
    batxG 0.19win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    14:16

Penalties

VGK 10 PIM·DAL 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:36VGKBraeden Bowman · Slashingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

2nd

  • 7:59VGKRasmus Andersson · High stickingdrawn by Wyatt Johnston2 min
  • 11:04DALLian Bichsel · Interferencedrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 13:20VGKNic Dowd · High stickingdrawn by Lian Bichsel2 min
  • 14:39DALThomas Harley · Trippingdrawn by Ivan Barbashev2 min
  • 19:16VGKIvan Barbashev · Slashingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

3rd

  • 1:27DALJustin Hryckowian · Trippingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 7:14VGKJack Eichel · Trippingdrawn by Mavrik Bourque2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalVGK goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Oskar Bäck, 2nd 10:41 — DAL 34% → 53%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.45O. Bäck · Goal · xG 0.26C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.19J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.19C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.17T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.15J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.15J. Robertson · On goal · xG 0.12J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.12M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.11A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.11M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.10W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.09M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.08J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.08M. Bourque · On goal · xG 0.07J. Robertson · Missed · xG 0.07W. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.05S. Steel · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Harley · On goal · xG 0.04A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.03W. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.03E. Lindell · Missed · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01N. Lundkvist · Missed · xG 0.00
DAL2 G · 2.9 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsDAL
2.01 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.70 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK42%58%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.00 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsDAL
27
Shots on goal
16
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/3
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
32
Hits
25
10
Blocked shots
17
14
Giveaways
11
2
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9J. EichelC101+140.370025022:51
27S. TheodoreD011+110.07010—21:56
15N. HanifinD000-100.00000—20:22
93M. MarnerR000000.000002520:15
3B. McNabbD000050.20520—19:52
4R. AnderssonD000010.04002—19:40
48T. HertlC000-120.251105018:09
16P. DorofeyevR000+130.17010—17:31
42B. BowmanR000-120.21002—17:10
5J. LauzonD000+110.04530—16:31
49I. BarbashevL011000.15302—15:03
10C. SissonsC000020.080105813:58
21B. HowdenC000020.184102512:51
6K. KorczakD000-120.05000—12:03
19R. SmithR000000.00000—11:32
62N. DowdC000010.123021711:32
22C. SmithR000000.0030010010:59
55K. KolesarR000010.12800—10:39
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Hill(L)16142.8752.49+0.4958:10

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).