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Avalanche at Capitals
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Washington Capitals
2
Final/OTTV NHLN, ALT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Brock Nelson scoring at 1:22. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Capitals led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Nelson's goal at 1:22 of overtime, which took the Avalanche's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — COL 2.7, WSH 2.8; shots on goal were COL 24, WSH 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 20 of 22 (.909), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 21 of 24 (.875). Three stars: 1. Brock Nelson (1 G), 2. Mackenzie Blackwood (20 saves, .909), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    B. Nelson1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood20 saves, .909
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
COLCOL06082713324
WSHWSH18071700222

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    J. Sourdif(14)
    C. McMichael (25), M. Roy (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    11:53

3rd period

  1. COL
    G. Landeskog(10)
    M. Necas (53)
    snapxG 0.26win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:05
  2. COL
    N. Roy(8)
    Z. Bardakov (9)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:03
  3. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(26)PPG
    D. Strome (35), C. Hutson (1)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +30 ptsVideo
    2-2
    14:17

Overtime

  1. COL
    B. Nelson(32)
    M. Necas (54), D. Toews (16)
    tip-inxG 0.22win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:22

Penalties

COL 10 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:14WSHCole Hutson · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 5:23COLNicolas Roy · High stickingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 14:50COLParker Kelly · Slashingdrawn by Matt Roy2 min

2nd

  • 4:29WSHAlex Ovechkin · Hookingdrawn by Cale Makar2 min
  • 16:17COLBrent Burns · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

3rd

  • 7:34COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 13:57COLGabriel Landeskog · Holdingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalCOL goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Nelson, OT 1:22 — COL 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.21E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.20T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.19J. Sourdif · Goal · xG 0.19C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.18R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.17D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.15A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.12R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.10T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.08M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.06A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.06A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.05R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.04J. Sourdif · On goal · xG 0.04A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsWSH
2.73 G
All situations
2 G2.8
2.23 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL48%52%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
22
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
1/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
18
5
Blocked shots
14
13
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000020.12010—25:06
88M. NecasC022+120.40100023:36
29N. MacKinnonC000010.201005022:50
27B. KulakD000010.01110—20:31
11B. NelsonC101+120.781005320:13
7D. ToewsD011+210.01000—19:45
70S. MalinskiD000+110.03110—19:24
13V. NichushkinR000-100.00000—18:47
84B. BurnsD000030.09002—17:29
92G. LandeskogL101+120.3231210017:21
42J. MansonD000030.10112—16:16
91N. KadriC000020.26200015:48
18J. DruryC000010.020007014:39
17P. KellyC000000.17302013:52
94J. KivirantaL000000.00100—12:14
10N. RoyC101+110.150025008:40
54G. BrindleyC000+110.04000004:57
93Z. BardakovC011+110.01000004:28
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)22202.9092.79+0.7961:12

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).