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Capitals at Avalanche
NHL

Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Colorado Avalanche
▸5
FinalTV TNT, truTV·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Victor Olofsson's goal at 15:58 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were WSH 24, COL 44. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 39 of 44 (.886), 0.6 goals below expected; Scott Wedgewood stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Victor Olofsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Martin Necas (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    V. Olofsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Necas2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH1121903224
COLCOL111216217544

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    P. Kelly(9)
    C. Makar (40), A. Barré-Boulet (1)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:54
  2. WSH
    J. Chychrun(18)PPG
    D. Strome (26), E. Frank (9)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:27

2nd period

  1. COL
    N. MacKinnon(37)PPG
    M. Necas (37), V. Olofsson (14)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:03
  2. COL
    V. Olofsson(9)
    J. Manson (17), B. Nelson (17)
    snapxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:58
  3. WSH
    E. Frank(11)
    A. Ovechkin (22), N. Dowd (11)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    16:15

3rd period

  1. COL
    A. Lehkonen(16)
    N. MacKinnon (47)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    12:32
  2. COL
    N. MacKinnon(38)
    M. Necas (38)
    snapxG 0.28win prob +1 ptsVideo
    2-5
    16:30

Penalties

WSH 14 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 1:49COLIlya Solovyov · Holdingdrawn by Justin Sourdif2 min
  • 6:56COLScott Wedgewood · Trippingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 15:42COLJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min

2nd

  • 4:23WSHJakob Chychrun · High sticking double minordrawn by Ross Colton4 min
  • 8:50WSHIvan Miroshnichenko · Hookingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min
  • 8:50COLSamuel Girard · Holdingdrawn by Ivan Miroshnichenko2 min
  • 11:58WSHAliaksei Protas · Interferencedrawn by Zakhar Bardakov2 min

3rd

  • 4:26WSHJakob Chychrun · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:01WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Hookingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min
  • 5:28COLBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 19:42WSHCharlie Lindgren · Trippingdrawn by Victor Olofsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalWSH goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Victor Olofsson, 2nd 15:58 — COL 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.29N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.28M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.21C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.20N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.17B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.17B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.16A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Goal · xG 0.13N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.12R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.11J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.10B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.09N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.08P. Kelly · Goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.07M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.06N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.05V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.04G. Brindley · Missed · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.03I. Ivan · Missed · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kelly · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barré-Boulet · Missed · xG 0.02J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02I. Solovyov · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.01I. Solovyov · Missed · xG 0.00S. Girard · Missed · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 4.4 xG · 70 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsCOL
2.82 G
All situations
5 G4.4
2.21 G
Even strength
4 G3.4
0.61 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 114 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH25%75%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.71 – 4.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsCOL
24
Shots on goal
44
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/4
Power play
1/6
14
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
14
24
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
15
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-100.11210—22:59
6J. ChychrunD101-130.07146—22:21
3M. RoyD000-100.00430—21:39
42M. FehérváryD000000.02120—20:29
21A. ProtasL000-130.1600210018:34
24C. McMichaelL000-300.0203010018:02
26N. DowdC011+100.183005017:57
17D. StromeC011-240.420205517:39
38R. SandinD000-200.05110—17:05
8A. OvechkinL011+150.19000—15:59
34J. SourdifC000-210.061104615:21
53E. FrankR112+140.92010—14:57
9R. LeonardR000-300.0000010013:04
72A. BeauvillierR000-110.32012—12:46
47D. ChisholmD000-110.01030—11:51
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000010.11012—10:43
22B. DuhaimeL000010.1011010009:55
29H. LapierreC000000.010001707:41
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)44395.8864.41-0.5960:00

Season series

COL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).