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Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSP, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Christian Dvorak's goal at 1:47 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 51% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 5.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were PHI 28, SJS 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Dan Vladar stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Travis Sanheim (1 G), 2. Dmitry Orlov (1 G), 3. Dan Vladar (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    T. Sanheim1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    D. Orlov1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    D. Vladar24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI06111311428
SJSSJS0617012125

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:26
  2. SJS
    D. Orlov(3)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:12

3rd period

  1. PHI
    C. Dvorak(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:47
  2. PHI
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.62win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:48
  3. PHI
    N. Cates(15)EN
    wristxG 0.70Video
    4-1
    19:24

Penalties

PHI 18 PIM·SJS 20 PIM

1st

  • 1:48SJSRyan Reaves · Fightingdrawn by Garrett Wilson5 min
  • 1:48PHIGarrett Wilson · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Reaves5 min
  • 5:09SJSCollin Graf · Holdingdrawn by Alex Bump2 min
  • 10:18PHITrevor Zegras · Kneeingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min
  • 15:40PHIserved by M. Michkov · Too many men on the ice2 min

2nd

  • 5:02SJSPhilipp Kurashev · Hookingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min
  • 12:19PHIEmil Andrae · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 16:17SJSWilliam Eklund · Holdingdrawn by Owen Tippett2 min
  • 17:12SJSBarclay Goodrow · Fightingdrawn by Noah Cates5 min
  • 17:12PHINoah Cates · Fightingdrawn by Barclay Goodrow5 min

3rd

  • 1:14SJSMario Ferraro · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 4:56PHITrevor Zegras · Trippingdrawn by Macklin Celebrini2 min
  • 7:40SJSMacklin Celebrini · Slashingdrawn by Travis Konecny2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalPHI goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Christian Dvorak, 3rd 1:47 — PHI 51% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.17D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.13M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.13M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.12D. Orlov · Goal · xG 0.12M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.10M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.09M. Misa · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Wennberg · Missed · xG 0.09W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.09W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.08M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Ostapchuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.06W. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.05M. Celebrini · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.05A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.04M. Celebrini · Missed · xG 0.04D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.03D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Graf · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.01K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01S. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.00A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 2.3 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsSJS
5.22 G
All situations
1 G2.3
1.31 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
2.11 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI67%33%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
25
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
1/4
18
Penalty minutes
20
23
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
10
11
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6T. SanheimD101+110.62020—28:57
22C. DvorakC112+241.001104825:32
55R. RistolainenD000+200.08110—24:39
11T. KonecnyR011030.1830010023:31
74O. TippettR101+350.99100—20:11
46T. ZegrasC011+130.372042919:53
8C. YorkD000+100.00040—19:34
27N. CatesL101+240.860254718:11
39M. MichkovR011020.45200—17:20
9J. DrysdaleD000+110.08030—17:12
24N. SeelerD000010.07210—14:25
20A. BumpL000020.28100—13:29
19G. HathawayR000010.022104011:39
29N. GrebenkinR000+100.00000—08:55
47N. JuulsenD011+100.00520—08:53
91C. GrundstromR000010.22200—08:51
10G. WilsonL000000.00105—08:06
36E. AndraeD000000.000026705:24
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
80D. Vladar(W)25241.9602.33+1.3358:25

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).