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San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV NBCSP, NBCSCA·Xfinity Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Sharks scored first; the Flyers answered. The Flyers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Carl Grundstrom's goal at 3:20 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 3.2 to 1.8; shots on goal were SJS 18, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Dan Vladar stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dan Vladar (17 saves, .944), 2. Carl Grundstrom (1 G), 3. Noah Cates (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    D. Vladar17 saves, .944
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Grundstrom1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    N. Cates1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS130807118
PHIPHI11621014430

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:33
  2. PHI
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:39

2nd period

  1. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:20
  2. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-3
    19:48

3rd period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.51Video
    1-4
    18:17

Penalties

SJS 4 PIM·PHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 16:10SJSTimothy Liljegren · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Grebenkin2 min
  • 20:00SJSAdam Gaudette · Hookingdrawn by Rodrigo Abols2 min

2nd

  • 8:56PHITravis Konecny · Hookingdrawn by Mario Ferraro2 min

3rd

  • 11:57PHIMatvei Michkov · High stickingdrawn by Ty Dellandrea2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalSJS goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Carl Grundstrom, 2nd 3:20 — PHI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.51C. Dvorak · Goal · xG 0.23T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.17M. Michkov · Missed · xG 0.16T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.16B. Brink · Missed · xG 0.14J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.13T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.12O. Tippett · Missed · xG 0.12C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.11C. Grundstrom · Goal · xG 0.11C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.10B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.09J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.09T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.08T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.06M. Michkov · On goal · xG 0.05N. Cates · Goal · xG 0.05T. Sanheim · Missed · xG 0.05C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.04J. Drysdale · Missed · xG 0.04N. Cates · On goal · xG 0.04B. Brink · On goal · xG 0.03N. Juulsen · Missed · xG 0.03T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.02T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02E. Andrae · On goal · xG 0.02N. Grebenkin · On goal · xG 0.02E. Andrae · Missed · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Abols · Missed · xG 0.01J. Drysdale · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.01T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.00N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI4 G · 3.2 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsPHI
1.81 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.31 G
Even strength
3 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS34%66%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.78 – 2.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsPHI
18
Shots on goal
30
33%
Faceoffs
67%
0/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
11
17
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3J. KlingbergD011-200.02420—22:19
38M. FerraroD000+120.12040—21:46
71M. CelebriniC000+120.092102519:45
72W. EklundL000-200.01100—19:22
21A. WennbergC000-220.361102118:52
37T. LiljegrenD000-100.00152—18:30
4N. LeddyD000-120.11010—18:26
6S. DickinsonD000-110.11220—17:12
96P. KurashevC000-200.002005016:57
2W. SmithC011+110.14000016:35
10T. DellandreaC000-140.271204416:29
51C. GrafR101030.26100—16:04
73T. ToffoliC000-210.280005015:59
9D. OrlovD000-200.00200—15:55
81A. GaudetteR000-200.02202—15:26
23B. GoodrowC000-100.00110010:44
63Z. OstapchukC000000.003005708:48
75R. ReavesR000000.00510—08:45
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33A. Nedeljkovic(L)29263.8972.69-0.3158:06

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).