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Sabres at Kings
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
Los Angeles Kings
1
FinalTV FDSNW, MSG-B·Crypto.com Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Kings scored first; the Sabres answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sam Carrick's goal at 11:12 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 2.7 to 2.0; shots on goal were BUF 33, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Anton Forsberg stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tage Thompson (1 G), 2. Sam Carrick (1 G), 3. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (26 saves, .963).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    T. Thompson1 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    S. Carrick1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    U. Luukkonen26 saves, .963

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01317313433
LAKLAK1801306127

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Panarin(24)PPG
    A. Kopitar (22), A. Kempe (33)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:48

2nd period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(36)
    P. Krebs (24), M. Samuelsson (27)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:05

3rd period

  1. BUF
    S. Carrick(9)
    Z. Benson (24), Z. Metsa (4)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:12
  2. BUF
    R. Dahlin(15)PPG
    Unassisted
    xG 0.08win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-1
    12:11
  3. BUF
    Z. Benson(8)EN
    J. Norris (15), B. Malenstyn (6)
    wristxG 0.72win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:35

Penalties

BUF 6 PIM·LAK 2 PIM

1st

  • 9:53BUFJack Quinn · Hookingdrawn by Adrian Kempe2 min

2nd

  • 11:15BUFMattias Samuelsson · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 18:05BUFZach Metsa · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

3rd

  • 11:12LAKserved by A. Kempe · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalBUF goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Sam Carrick, 3rd 11:12 — BUF 48% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.19A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.18A. Panarin · Goal · xG 0.15J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.12J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.12A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.09Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.09A. Laferriere · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.08Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.08T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.07J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.07J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.07Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.05T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.05T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.04T. Ward · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03J. Wright · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.03Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.02A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.01B. Clarke · On goal · xG 0.01D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.00C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsLAK
2.73 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.5
0.21 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF49%51%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsLAK
33
Shots on goal
27
35%
Faceoffs
65%
1/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
27
16
Blocked shots
15
10
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD101+210.38110—23:07
4B. ByramD000020.07110—22:20
25O. PowerD000030.09000—22:02
23M. SamuelssonD011+100.00022—21:40
89A. TuchR000+140.10110—20:06
72T. ThompsonC101+130.281002218:11
64L. StanleyD000+230.03120—16:26
10S. CarrickC101+130.231104315:38
6Z. BensonL112+210.72000—15:16
19P. KrebsC011+120.101004315:03
29B. MalenstynL011+230.07310—14:47
9J. NorrisC011+100.170204214:40
73Z. MetsaD011+110.03122—13:59
86N. OstlundC000020.23010013:01
91J. DoanR000030.16110—12:44
17J. ZuckerL000000.00100—12:30
71R. McLeodC000000.000002511:52
22J. QuinnR000020.05212—11:43
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)27261.9632.05+1.0560:00

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).