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Kings at Sabres
NHL

Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres

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Los Angeles Kings
1
Buffalo Sabres
▸4
FinalTV FDSNW, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Los Angeles Kings 4-1. The Sabres scored first and never trailed. The Sabres led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Samuelsson's goal at 11:17 of the first period, which took the Sabres' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were LAK 38, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Alex Lyon stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Tuch (3 G), 2. Alex Lyon (37 saves, .974), 3. Jack Quinn (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    A. Tuch3 G
  2. ★★
    BUF
    A. Lyon37 saves, .974
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    J. Quinn3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK01211907138
BUFBUF28114110432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(20)PPG
    R. McLeod (25), J. Quinn (20)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:14
  2. BUF
    M. Samuelsson(9)
    R. Dahlin (32), J. Quinn (21)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:17

2nd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(21)
    B. Byram (16), Z. Benson (19)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:29
  2. LAK
    A. Kempe(18)PPG
    K. Fiala (20), B. Clarke (20)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +7 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:47

3rd period

  1. BUF
    A. Tuch(22)EN
    J. Quinn (22), R. McLeod (26)
    snapxG 0.55Video
    1-4
    19:00

Penalties

LAK 30 PIM·BUF 28 PIM

1st

  • 5:23LAKJeff Malott · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 5:23LAKJeff Malott · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 5:23BUFMichael Kesselring · Roughingdrawn by Jeff Malott2 min
  • 14:04BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 14:04BUFPeyton Krebs · Roughingdrawn by Quinton Byfield2 min
  • 14:04LAKQuinton Byfield · Roughingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min

2nd

  • 7:36BUFRasmus Dahlin · Slashingdrawn by Trevor Moore2 min

3rd

  • 7:00LAKSamuel Helenius · Trippingdrawn by Peyton Krebs2 min
  • 16:52LAKserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:44BUFPeyton Krebs · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:44LAKJeff Malott · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:44BUFMichael Kesselring · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:44LAKSamuel Helenius · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalLAK goalFinal: BUF 100%

Biggest swing: Mattias Samuelsson, 1st 11:17 — BUF 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.55T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.27T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.21R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.15A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.15R. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.14J. Quinn · On goal · xG 0.12O. Power · On goal · xG 0.12A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.11A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.10T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.09A. Tuch · Goal · xG 0.09K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.08P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.08J. Doan · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Doan · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.04O. Power · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Benson · Missed · xG 0.03M. Samuelsson · Goal · xG 0.03T. Kozak · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03R. Dahlin · Missed · xG 0.02T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Power · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · On goal · xG 0.01K. Helenius · On goal · xG 0.01P. Krebs · On goal · xG 0.01R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ostlund · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Benson · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Metsa · On goal · xG 0.00O. Power · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF4 G · 3.1 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsBUF
2.61 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.20 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.31 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK52%48%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsBUF
38
Shots on goal
32
38%
Faceoffs
63%
1/2
Power play
1/3
30
Penalty minutes
28
30
Hits
9
11
Blocked shots
13
20
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-110.01210—22:48
92B. ClarkeD011-220.16030—21:04
44M. AndersonD000040.29200—19:30
5C. CeciD000-120.06120—18:52
6J. EdmundsonD000-130.05110—17:53
14A. LaferriereR000040.41210—17:40
22K. FialaL011-120.17000—17:23
9A. KempeR101-140.343002916:49
40J. ArmiaR000-120.112003816:47
2B. DumoulinD000-110.03200—16:15
12T. MooreL000-120.02300—16:14
55Q. ByfieldR000-110.130025315:54
96A. KuzmenkoL000010.22010—15:39
10C. PerryR000-130.22010—15:27
37W. FoegeleL000-120.130005014:27
52T. WardR000-130.13200—11:48
79S. HeleniusC000-100.0040125010:06
39J. MalottL000-110.146114—09:39
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(L)31283.9032.51-0.4959:54

Season series

BUF leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).