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Ducks at Mammoth
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
▸4
Utah Mammoth
1
FinalTV Utah16, Victory+·Delta Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 4-1. The Mammoth scored first; the Ducks answered. The Ducks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 9:09 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.4 to 3.3; shots on goal were ANA 24, UTA 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Mammoth win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Lukas Dostal stopped 29 of 30 (.967), 2.3 goals saved above expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 20 of 22 (.909). Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (29 saves, .967), 2. Alex Killorn (1 G, 2 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal29 saves, .967
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    UTA
    D. Guenther1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1519210424
UTAUTA1140907130

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(34)
    S. Durzi (18), J. Peterka (20)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:48
  2. ANA
    R. Poehling(9)SHG
    A. Killorn (14), P. Mintyukov (12)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:37

2nd period

  1. ANA
    A. Killorn(11)
    B. Sennecke (32)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:09

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Gauthier(36)EN
    J. Viel (5), J. Carlson (37)
    snapxG 0.77win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:24
  2. ANA
    M. Granlund(13)EN
    R. Poehling (22), A. Killorn (15)
    wristxG 0.78Video
    4-1
    19:05

Penalties

ANA 23 PIM·UTA 17 PIM

1st

  • 6:40ANAIan Moore · Slashingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 13:20ANAserved by C. Kreider · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:26UTAMikhail Sergachev · Slashingdrawn by Leo Carlsson2 min

2nd

  • 3:15UTAJack McBain · Fightingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel5 min
  • 3:15ANAJeffrey Viel · Fightingdrawn by Jack McBain5 min
  • 7:00UTAJohn Marino · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Poehling2 min
  • 15:40UTAIan Cole · Hookingdrawn by Jeffrey Viel2 min

3rd

  • 4:48UTAClayton Keller · Slashingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min
  • 14:32ANAJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min
  • 19:12UTABarrett Hayton · High stickingdrawn by Tim Washe2 min
  • 19:12UTANate Schmidt · Roughingdrawn by Tim Washe2 min
  • 19:12ANATim Washe · Roughingdrawn by Nate Schmidt2 min
  • 19:12ANAJansen Harkins · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
UTA goalANA goalFinal: UTA 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 2nd 9:09 — ANA 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.18M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.17L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.16B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.15D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.14D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.14L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.10J. Peterka · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.10L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.09M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.09N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.09L. Crouse · Missed · xG 0.09N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.08N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.08M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.07M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.06D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.06M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.06N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06M. Sergachev · Missed · xG 0.05D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.05D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.04D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.04I. Cole · On goal · xG 0.04N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.03M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Weegar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.02N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marino · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.01I. Cole · Missed · xG 0.01B. Hayton · On goal · xG 0.01
UTA1 G · 3.3 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsUTA
4.42 G
All situations
1 G3.3
1.31 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
1.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA36%64%UTA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsUTA
24
Shots on goal
30
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/5
Power play
0/3
23
Penalty minutes
17
20
Hits
18
28
Blocked shots
12
14
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011+120.00130—24:19
98P. MintyukovD011+210.03120—22:51
65J. TroubaD000+200.02152—20:33
2J. LaCombeD000+200.00030—19:54
25R. PoehlingC112+210.175407419:04
20C. KreiderL000020.4420010018:01
91L. CarlssonC000020.100104517:44
19T. TerryR000010.21000—17:36
61C. GauthierL101+121.360005016:56
17A. KillornL123+240.17100—16:39
64M. GranlundC101+230.940006316:35
45B. SenneckeR011030.69210—15:09
28J. VielL011+100.00125—15:00
51O. ZellwegerD000-110.02100—13:10
3I. MooreD000-100.01022—11:29
23M. McTavishC000020.25100010:22
42T. WasheC000+100.003327810:20
24J. HarkinsC000000.00121010008:18
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1L. Dostal(W)30291.9673.33+2.3360:00

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).