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Mammoth at Ducks
NHL

Utah Mammoth at Anaheim Ducks

NHL scoreboard
Utah Mammoth
2
Anaheim Ducks
▸3
Final/OTTV Utah16, Victory+·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-2 in overtime, Olen Zellweger scoring at 1:50. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Olen Zellweger's goal at 1:50 of overtime, which took the Ducks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were UTA 18, ANA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Lukas Dostal stopped 16 of 18 (.889). Three stars: 1. Olen Zellweger (1 G), 2. Troy Terry (1 G), 3. Jackson LaCombe (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    O. Zellweger1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    T. Terry1 G
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    J. LaCombe1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
UTAUTA06171500218
ANAANA150911111326

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    J. LaCombe(1)
    R. Strome (2), A. Killorn (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:52

2nd period

  1. UTA
    D. Guenther(8)
    N. Schmidt (5), J. Marino (9)
    slapxG 0.08win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:14

3rd period

  1. UTA
    L. Cooley(9)
    M. Sergachev (12), N. Schmaltz (12)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-1
    9:19
  2. ANA
    T. Terry(6)
    C. Kreider (4), C. Gauthier (10)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +46 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:55

Overtime

  1. ANA
    O. Zellweger(2)
    B. Sennecke (7), A. Killorn (6)
    wristxG 0.23win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:50

Penalties

UTA 9 PIM·ANA 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:02ANATroy Terry · Hookingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 3:02UTAMikhail Sergachev · Embellishment2 min
  • 10:05ANABeckett Sennecke · Trippingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 15:53UTALiam O'Brien · Fightingdrawn by Ross Johnston5 min
  • 15:53ANARoss Johnston · Fightingdrawn by Liam O'Brien5 min

2nd

  • 4:29UTALawson Crouse · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalUTA goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Olen Zellweger, OT 1:50 — ANA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
O. Zellweger · Goal · xG 0.23C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.20D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.20L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.14J. LaCombe · Goal · xG 0.13L. Carlsson · Missed · xG 0.12N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.11C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.08T. Terry · Goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.07A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.07T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.07D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.07C. Gauthier · Missed · xG 0.07O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.06F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.06B. Sennecke · Missed · xG 0.05O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04O. Zellweger · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johnston · Missed · xG 0.04T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.04C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.03J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.03C. Gauthier · On goal · xG 0.02D. Helleson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.01I. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.01L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00J. LaCombe · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 2.6 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

UTAvsANA
1.72 G
All situations
3 G2.6
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
UTA35%65%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.73 – 2.52

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

UTAvsANA
18
Shots on goal
26
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
9
17
Hits
20
15
Blocked shots
12
19
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
98M. SergachevD011-200.00012—24:18
6J. MarinoD011+110.03000—22:52
88N. SchmidtD011010.04110—21:52
28I. ColeD000-100.00030—20:15
8N. SchmaltzC011020.130106019:40
9C. KellerR000-110.39110—19:40
92L. CooleyC101020.270004319:21
57N. DeSimoneD000+100.01010—16:51
77J. PeterkaR000-100.16000—16:45
67L. CrouseL000030.084126716:01
11D. GuentherR101-150.380005015:40
22J. McBainC000000.002206414:57
27B. HaytonC000000.010104314:24
26D. SimashevD000020.04010—14:13
82K. StenlundC000000.130204613:35
53M. CarconeL000+110.07300—12:34
13B. TanevL000000.00100—10:05
38L. O'BrienC000000.00505008:39
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(O)26233.8852.56-0.4461:38

Season series

ANA leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).