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Panthers at Flames
NHL

Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
1
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Florida Panthers 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Farabee's goal at 7:44 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.2 to 1.6; shots on goal were FLA 25, CGY 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Daniil Tarasov stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected; Dustin Wolf stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Dustin Wolf (24 saves, .960), 2. Morgan Frost (1 G), 3. Victor Olofsson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    D. Wolf24 saves, .960
  2. ★★
    CGY
    M. Frost1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    V. Olofsson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA080819125
CGYCGY010210216436

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Farabee(16)
    B. Coleman (11)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:44
  2. CGY
    V. Olofsson(12)
    A. Klapka (10), O. Maatta (6)
    slapxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:10

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Greer(13)
    D. Sebrango (3), T. Nosek (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:17
  2. CGY
    M. Frost(16)PPG
    Y. Sharangovich (11), Z. Parekh (3)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +3 ptsVideo
    1-3
    16:59
  3. CGY
    M. Coronato(16)PPG
    M. Gridin (7), B. Coleman (12)
    wristxG 0.11Video
    1-4
    17:30

Penalties

FLA 25 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 4:45FLANolan Foote · Trippingdrawn by Zayne Parekh2 min

2nd

  • 14:36FLADmitry Kulikov · Slashingdrawn by Morgan Frost2 min
  • 17:22CGYMartin Pospisil · Roughingdrawn by Donovan Sebrango2 min

3rd

  • 4:41FLANiko Mikkola · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 6:20CGYMatt Coronato · Holdingdrawn by Tomas Nosek2 min
  • 11:14FLAA.J. Greer · Hookingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 11:14FLAA.J. Greer · Interferencedrawn by Connor Zary5 min
  • 11:14FLAA.J. Greer · Game misconduct10 min
  • 14:04CGYJoel Farabee · Trippingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 16:39FLATomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Matt Coronato2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalFLA goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Joel Farabee, 2nd 7:44 — CGY 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.35V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.24M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.21V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.18M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.17M. Gridin · Missed · xG 0.11Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.11M. Coronato · Goal · xG 0.11M. Frost · Goal · xG 0.11V. Olofsson · Goal · xG 0.10M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frost · On goal · xG 0.09Y. Sharangovich · On goal · xG 0.09M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.09M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Coleman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.05M. Gridin · On goal · xG 0.05B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.05J. Farabee · Missed · xG 0.05M. Coronato · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.04V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.03M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.03R. Strome · On goal · xG 0.03H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.02M. Coronato · Missed · xG 0.02J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.02M. Frost · Missed · xG 0.02J. Hanley · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.01H. Brzustewicz · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Parekh · On goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · Goal · xG 0.01J. Farabee · On goal · xG 0.01C. Zary · Missed · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 3.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsCGY
1.61 G
All situations
4 G3.2
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
0.30 G
Power play
2 G1.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA24%76%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsCGY
25
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
2/7
25
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
18
7
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000-200.00000—24:32
5A. EkbladD000010.03120—21:54
7D. KulikovD000010.04112—19:22
20M. BenningD000+110.20010—18:12
9S. BennettC000-200.18000017:13
77N. MikkolaD000-220.07312—17:01
6D. SebrangoD011+110.01200—16:52
17E. RodriguesC000030.151003616:15
19M. TkachukL000-130.101005015:40
23C. VerhaegheC000-130.200003315:13
70J. BoqvistC000000.0941010014:38
92T. NosekL011+100.152024514:21
27E. LuostarinenC000010.051006713:55
71L. KuninC000010.001004613:36
10A. GreerL101010.034017—13:23
29C. ReinhardtL000030.08500—13:16
24V. HinostrozaC000030.0601010012:19
25N. FooteL000010.15102—09:42
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40D. Tarasov(L)36324.8893.15-0.8560:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).