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Flames at Panthers
NHL

Calgary Flames at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
▸5
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Flames came back from two goals down. The Flames led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nazem Kadri's goal at 18:44 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 5.1 to 3.1; shots on goal were CGY 34, FLA 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Devin Cooley stopped 38 of 41 (.927), 2.1 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nazem Kadri (1 G, 2 A), 2. Rasmus Andersson (2 A), 3. Sam Reinhart (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    N. Kadri1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    R. Andersson2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    S. Reinhart2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY214210110534
FLAFLA22008113341

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Rodrigues(7)
    S. Reinhart (9), J. Boqvist (3)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:54
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(6)
    A. Greer (4), C. Verhaeghe (12)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    2:58
  3. CGY
    Y. Kuznetsov(1)
    B. Coleman (3)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:35
  4. CGY
    M. Weegar(1)
    M. Backlund (10), C. Zary (2)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-2
    10:41

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Frost(6)PPG
    R. Andersson (12), N. Kadri (15)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    0:55
  2. CGY
    N. Kadri(5)
    R. Andersson (13), J. Farabee (6)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +18 ptsVideo
    4-2
    18:44

3rd period

  1. FLA
    B. Marchand(15)
    S. Reinhart (10), A. Lundell (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    4-3
    11:54
  2. CGY
    J. Farabee(7)EN
    N. Kadri (16)
    snapxG 0.44win prob +7 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:57

Penalties

CGY 4 PIM·FLA 4 PIM

1st

  • 14:35CGYMacKenzie Weegar · Cross checkingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 19:17FLAAaron Ekblad · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min
  • 19:17FLAA.J. Greer · Holdingdrawn by John Beecher2 min

2nd

  • 13:47CGYRasmus Andersson · Roughingdrawn by Luke Kunin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCGY goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Nazem Kadri, 2nd 18:44 — CGY 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.42A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.40S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.35S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.30J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.24S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.23S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.17A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.16E. Rodrigues · Goal · xG 0.16M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.15M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.15J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.14A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.12M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.11A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.11E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.10C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.10J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.07C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.07N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.06J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.06C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.06E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.05A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.05S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.05E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.04A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.04J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.04G. Forsling · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.03J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.03J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.03M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.01B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.01G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.01M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 5.1 xG · 65 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsFLA
3.14 G
All situations
3 G5.1
1.93 G
Even strength
3 G3.1
0.41 G
Power play
0 G2.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 115 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY15%85%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 4.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsFLA
34
Shots on goal
41
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
30
28
Blocked shots
11
14
Giveaways
10
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4R. AnderssonD022+130.20132—22:59
37Y. KuznetsovD101020.02240—22:36
7K. BahlD000+110.03020—21:45
52M. WeegarD101050.15242—20:53
11M. BacklundC011+210.070004819:49
20B. ColemanL011+210.13530—19:24
91N. KadriC123+280.690206718:59
86J. FarabeeL112+220.48000—18:00
47C. ZaryC011+110.232005016:35
17Y. SharangovichC000+240.180006715:53
94B. PachalD000000.00200—15:39
10J. HuberdeauL000-100.40020—15:27
44J. HanleyD000000.01010—14:40
27M. CoronatoR000-220.080102014:07
16M. FrostC101-220.220205613:04
18J. BeecherC000-110.111305610:38
70R. LombergL000-110.08010—08:22
43A. KlapkaR000-100.01500—07:10
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1D. Cooley(W)41383.9275.13+2.1360:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).