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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

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Colorado Avalanche
▸4
Chicago Blackhawks
1
FinalTV CHSN, ALT·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Wyatt Kaiser's goal at 6:48 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 19% to 35%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.5 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 49, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 81% of the time. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 19 of 20 (.950), 1.2 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 45 of 49 (.918). Three stars: 1. Martin Necas (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (3 A), 3. Valeri Nichushkin (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    M. Necas1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon3 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    V. Nichushkin1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL220015214449
CHICHI051609120

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    M. Necas(32)
    V. Nichushkin (25), N. MacKinnon (67)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-0
    13:19
  2. COL
    B. Nelson(31)PPG
    C. Makar (50), M. Necas (51)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-0
    15:22

2nd period

  1. CHI
    W. Kaiser(6)
    R. Greene (16), S. Rinzel (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:48

3rd period

  1. COL
    N. Kadri(14)PPG
    N. MacKinnon (68), M. Necas (52)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    0:36
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(15)
    N. MacKinnon (69)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-1
    8:34

Penalties

COL 6 PIM·CHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:20CHIDominic Toninato · Slashingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 16:05COLJack Drury · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

2nd

  • 14:51COLBrock Nelson · Hookingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

3rd

  • 0:13CHIRyan Donato · Trippingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 4:00CHISam Rinzel · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:05COLDevon Toews · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 10:19CHIArtyom Levshunov · High sticking double minordrawn by Brock Nelson4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Wyatt Kaiser, 2nd 6:48 — CHI 19% → 35%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.23T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.21A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.20W. Kaiser · Goal · xG 0.17C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.16F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.16F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.14F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.10L. Slaggert · Missed · xG 0.09F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.08A. Burakovsky · Missed · xG 0.08T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.06W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.05A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.05N. Lardis · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.04N. Lardis · Missed · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.00T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.00R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
4.54 G
All situations
1 G2.2
3.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL81%19%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.34 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
49
Shots on goal
20
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/5
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
10
19
Hits
19
6
Blocked shots
21
14
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD011040.13000—23:54
29N. MacKinnonC033+140.213003622:12
88M. NecasC123+150.59110020:40
70S. MalinskiD000+140.23110—19:51
7D. ToewsD000010.02202—19:38
27B. KulakD000010.04100—18:10
11B. NelsonC101050.680126717:54
84B. BurnsD000040.14000—17:50
91N. KadriC101030.1520010017:37
13V. NichushkinR112+110.22000—16:52
42J. MansonD000+110.03210—16:18
17P. KellyC000030.2530010014:08
10N. RoyC000030.2511010013:02
18J. DruryC000040.720028012:58
54G. BrindleyC000020.55100012:29
94J. KivirantaL000040.28100—12:07
93Z. BardakovC000000.00010009:52
82I. IvanC000000.001003309:09
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39M. Blackwood(W)20191.9502.23+1.2359:19

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).