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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV CHSN, ALT·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-1. The Blackhawks scored first; the Avalanche answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gavin Brindley's goal at 7:31 of the third period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 52% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 4.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were CHI 15, COL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Spencer Knight stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 14 of 15 (.933), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gavin Brindley (1 G), 2. Cale Makar (2 G), 3. Mackenzie Blackwood (14 saves, .933).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    G. Brindley1 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    C. Makar2 G
  3. ★★★
    COL
    M. Blackwood14 saves, .933

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI140506115
COLCOL014110211335

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    C. Bedard(25)PPG
    snapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:31

2nd period

  1. COL
    snapxG 0.13win prob +21 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:51

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.35win prob +29 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:31
  2. COL
    C. Makar(17)EN
    wristxG 0.64win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:33

Penalties

CHI 8 PIM·COL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:10COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 11:55COLJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min
  • 19:12CHIColton Dach · Holding the stickdrawn by Brett Kulak2 min

2nd

  • 1:58COLserved by R. Colton · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:05CHIConnor Bedard · Slashingdrawn by Jack Drury2 min
  • 5:30CHIAndre Burakovsky · Trippingdrawn by Brent Burns2 min
  • 17:46CHIOliver Moore · Trippingdrawn by Martin Necas2 min

3rd

  • 1:37COLDevon Toews · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 10:40COLGabriel Landeskog · Slashingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Gavin Brindley, 3rd 7:31 — COL 52% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.64G. Brindley · Goal · xG 0.35N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.21V. Olofsson · Missed · xG 0.20A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.18A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.17C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.13G. Landeskog · Missed · xG 0.12J. Drury · Missed · xG 0.12J. Manson · Missed · xG 0.12V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.12G. Brindley · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.11J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.11N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.09A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.07V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.06G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.06C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.05N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.05S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · Missed · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Necas · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.03V. Nichushkin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.03V. Olofsson · On goal · xG 0.03D. Toews · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.02S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.02N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · Missed · xG 0.01Z. Bardakov · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Malinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drury · On goal · xG 0.01G. Landeskog · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Manson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Nichushkin · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
COL3 G · 4.0 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
1.81 G
All situations
2 G4.0
1.30 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI25%75%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.80 – 3.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
15
Shots on goal
35
40%
Faceoffs
60%
1/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
20
Hits
13
13
Blocked shots
11
16
Giveaways
18
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72A. VlasicD000-110.02020—23:09
48M. GrzelcykD000-210.02120—22:17
46L. CrevierD000-130.13200—20:44
98C. BedardC101-230.471122720:33
55A. LevshunovD000-200.00120—19:52
59T. BertuzziL011-210.44120—19:36
86T. TeravainenC011-200.00000018:43
16J. DickinsonC000000.131205717:37
95I. MikheyevR000010.06000—17:29
5C. MurphyD000000.06410—17:08
91F. NazarC000-100.000006316:40
28A. BurakovskyL000-110.0710210016:13
20R. GreeneC000-110.130001314:52
11O. MooreC000-120.08102011:21
17N. FolignoL000000.101004310:48
8R. DonatoC000000.00000010:27
14K. KorchinskiD000000.00110—08:24
34C. DachC000010.10502007:56
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30S. Knight(L)34322.9413.33+1.3358:11

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).