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Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV The Spot, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darren Raddysh's goal at 0:49 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 62% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.8 to 1.8; shots on goal were TBL 31, VAN 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 19 of 21 (.905); Kevin Lankinen stopped 25 of 31 (.806), 3.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Cirelli (1 G, 2 A), 3. Darren Raddysh (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Cirelli1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    D. Raddysh1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL11131129631
VANVAN0614111221

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:37

2nd period

  1. TBL
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    0:49
  2. TBL
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    4:16
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-0
    5:31
  4. VAN
    B. Boeser (20), M. Rossi (17)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 ptsVideo
    4-1
    12:06

3rd period

  1. VAN
    batxG 0.06win prob +5 ptsVideo
    4-2
    7:04
  2. TBL
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +5 ptsVideo
    5-2
    7:36
  3. TBL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    10:35

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·VAN 2 PIM

1st

  • 14:37TBLJ.J. Moser · Trippingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min

2nd

  • 18:49TBLJake Guentzel · Trippingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

3rd

  • 16:28VANTeddy Blueger · Slashingdrawn by J.J. Moser2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalTBL goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Darren Raddysh, 2nd 0:49 — TBL 62% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.17J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.15L. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.12T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.10L. Ohgren · Missed · xG 0.10N. Hoglander · Missed · xG 0.10J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.09E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.08V. Mancini · Missed · xG 0.08T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Buium · On goal · xG 0.06T. Blueger · Missed · xG 0.06L. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.04L. Ohgren · Goal · xG 0.04T. Willander · On goal · xG 0.03E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.02L. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.01T. Willander · Missed · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.01E. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.00V. Mancini · On goal · xG 0.00F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 1.8 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsVAN
2.86 G
All situations
2 G1.8
2.76 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL68%32%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.76 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsVAN
31
Shots on goal
21
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
12
Hits
25
14
Blocked shots
6
16
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43D. RaddyshD112+270.50000—24:50
27R. McDonaghD011+210.00020—23:27
90J. MoserD011+210.07122—22:55
51C. D'AstousD011+100.13020—22:30
81E. CernakD022+110.06010—20:05
38B. HagelL112+440.40000—20:01
71A. CirelliC123+320.430105917:57
86N. KucherovR123+430.26110—16:10
59J. GuentzelC101030.220022515:57
21B. PointC000020.210007515:06
93G. GoncalvesC000-120.32110014:43
37Y. GourdeC101020.110003613:49
10C. PerryR000000.00000—13:48
20N. PaulL000+100.002105313:17
22O. BjorkstrandR000+100.00300—12:33
29P. HolmbergR011010.01000—12:29
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.054205011:39
77V. HedmanD000010.03010—04:44
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)21192.9051.82-0.1860:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).