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Canucks at Lightning
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸6
Tampa Bay Lightning
2
FinalTV The Spot, SNP·Benchmark International Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-2. The Canucks came back from two goals down. The Lightning led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Linus Karlsson's goal at 4:54 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.7 to 1.8; shots on goal were VAN 18, TBL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Kevin Lankinen stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.7 goals saved above expected; Jonas Johansson stopped 12 of 17 (.706), 3.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Quinn Hughes (4 A), 2. Mackenzie MacEachern (1 G, 1 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    Q. Hughes4 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    M. MacEachern1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    J. Guentzel1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN0116511618
TBLTBL11316011230

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Kucherov(8)
    D. Raddysh (3), B. Point (7)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:25

2nd period

  1. TBL
    J. Guentzel(8)
    E. Cernak (3), B. Hagel (8)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    4:35
  2. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(7)PPG
    E. Pettersson (12), Q. Hughes (13)
    snapxG 0.23win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    9:26

3rd period

  1. VAN
    K. Sherwood(12)PPG
    B. Boeser (6), Q. Hughes (14)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:11
  2. VAN
    L. Karlsson(2)
    M. MacEachern (3)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +28 ptsVideo
    3-2
    4:54
  3. VAN
    D. O'Connor(5)
    Q. Hughes (15), F. Hronek (10)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    5:51
  4. VAN
    M. MacEachern(1)
    F. Hronek (11), Q. Hughes (16)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +2 ptsVideo
    5-2
    13:52
  5. VAN
    M. Pettersson(1)EN
    E. Pettersson (13), T. Myers (4)
    wristxG 0.39Video
    6-2
    16:57

Penalties

VAN 33 PIM·TBL 33 PIM

1st

  • 1:42TBLDarren Raddysh · Fightingdrawn by Conor Garland5 min
  • 1:42VANConor Garland · Fightingdrawn by Darren Raddysh5 min

2nd

  • 5:53TBLScott Sabourin · Holdingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 9:06TBLJ.J. Moser · Holdingdrawn by Mackenzie MacEachern2 min
  • 14:13VANQuinn Hughes · Slashingdrawn by Brandon Hagel2 min
  • 16:44VANElias Pettersson · Hookingdrawn by Gage Goncalves2 min

3rd

  • 3:43TBLScott Sabourin · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Kevin Lankinen2 min
  • 19:30TBLScott Sabourin · Roughingdrawn by Linus Karlsson2 min
  • 19:30VANMackenzie MacEachern · Roughingdrawn by Scott Sabourin2 min
  • 19:30VANMackenzie MacEachern · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:30TBLScott Sabourin · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:30TBLCurtis Douglas · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:30VANLinus Karlsson · Misconduct10 min
  • 20:00VANAatu Räty · Cross checkingdrawn by Emil Lilleberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalVAN goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Linus Karlsson, 3rd 4:54 — VAN 48% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.27O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.19J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.18G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.18Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.17B. Point · On goal · xG 0.17G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.16Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.16J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.16S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.13S. Sabourin · On goal · xG 0.13D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.12B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.11S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Girgensons · On goal · xG 0.10B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.09B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.07M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.07J. Finley · Missed · xG 0.06D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.05C. Douglas · Missed · xG 0.04N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.04M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.04J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.04G. Goncalves · Missed · xG 0.04D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.04O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.03J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.03Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.03G. Goncalves · On goal · xG 0.03B. Point · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.02M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · Missed · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01M. Crozier · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lilleberg · Missed · xG 0.01S. Sabourin · Missed · xG 0.01C. D'Astous · On goal · xG 0.00J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL2 G · 3.7 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsTBL
1.85 G
All situations
2 G3.7
0.83 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN15%85%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.39 – 3.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsTBL
18
Shots on goal
30
53%
Faceoffs
47%
2/3
Power play
0/2
33
Penalty minutes
33
28
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
8
12
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD044+140.15002—23:48
57T. MyersD011+100.00110—22:43
17F. HronekD022+100.01310—21:23
29M. PetterssonD101+110.39120—21:16
40E. PetterssonC022010.110105619:52
44K. SherwoodL101+110.19400—18:48
91E. KaneL000000.04300—18:28
6B. BoeserR011030.1700010017:41
74J. DeBruskL101020.25200—17:17
18D. O'ConnorL101+110.10100—17:03
25E. PetterssonD000010.03322—14:56
5T. WillanderD000000.00020—14:40
63M. SassonC000000.000105013:58
20M. MacEachernL112+210.21301210013:19
94L. KarlssonC101+120.124010012:56
54A. RätyC000010.032025012:11
73L. ReichelL000+200.011004010:50
8C. GarlandR000-100.00005—04:21
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lankinen(W)30282.9333.72+1.7260:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).