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Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers

FinalTV SCRIPPS, SN·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was A.J. Greer's goal at 19:02 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.5, EDM 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 23, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Benning (2 A), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Gustav Forsling.

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Benning2 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bobrovsky21 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    G. Forsling

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA2121516423
EDMEDM080904021

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    11:12
  2. FLA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:02

2nd period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(18)PPG
    snapxG 0.44win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:21

3rd period

  1. FLA
    snapxG 0.11Video
    4-0
    15:23

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:36EDMSpencer Stastney · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min

2nd

  • 0:29FLASam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
  • 8:18FLAMatthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 13:49EDMVasily Podkolzin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalFLA goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: A.J. Greer, 1st 19:02 — FLA 62% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.33K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.23V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.18J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.13V. Podkolzin · Missed · xG 0.12M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.11M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.11K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.11M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.11T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.09M. Savoie · On goal · xG 0.08D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.07C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.06M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.05J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04M. Savoie · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.04J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Walman · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01V. Podkolzin · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01
EDM0 G · 2.6 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsEDM
2.54 G
All situations
0 G2.6
1.83 G
Even strength
0 G2.4
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA49%51%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.49

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsEDM
23
Shots on goal
21
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
28
9
Blocked shots
14
17
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD000000.00110—24:34
77N. MikkolaD000000.04210—22:31
42G. ForslingD000+110.04010—20:33
5A. EkbladD000+120.06000—18:13
17E. RodriguesC022+130.240005717:44
23C. VerhaegheC101+140.540004016:35
9S. BennettC022+130.231124316:26
15A. LundellC101020.530005016:25
27E. LuostarinenC000000.001105016:20
7D. KulikovD000+210.02110—16:09
10A. GreerL101+120.342105016:03
70J. BoqvistC000010.03000015:46
20M. BenningD022+200.00100—15:43
19M. TkachukL011+120.12102—14:50
92T. NosekL000+100.005105012:53
11M. SamoskevichR000+100.05210—12:10
29C. ReinhardtL101+110.20100—11:41
71L. KuninC000+110.06300011:24
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)212101.0002.57+2.5760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).