Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-0. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was A.J. Greer's goal at 19:02 of the first period, which took the Panthers' chances from 62% to 78%. Expected goals were close — FLA 2.5, EDM 2.6; shots on goal were FLA 23, EDM 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Connor Ingram stopped 19 of 23 (.826), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Benning (2 A), 2. Sergei Bobrovsky (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Gustav Forsling.
Three stars
- ★M. Benning2 A

- ★★S. Bobrovsky21 saves, 1.000

- ★★★G. Forsling

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-011:12
2-019:02
2nd period
3-014:21
3rd period
4-015:23
Penalties
1st
- 12:36
Spencer Stastney · Interferencedrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
2nd
- 0:29
Sam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Evan Bouchard2 min
- 8:18
Matthew Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
- 13:49
Vasily Podkolzin · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: A.J. Greer, 1st 19:02 — 62% → 78%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.54 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.6
- 1.83 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.4
- 0.71 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.2
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 2.49
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 23
- Shots on goal
- 21
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 21
- Hits
- 28
- 9
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 17
- Giveaways
- 16
- 3
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
6@
3Final
4@
0this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















