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Oilers at Panthers
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Florida Panthers
3
FinalTV NHLN, SCRIPPS·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Florida Panthers 6-3. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mattias Ekholm's goal at 13:58 of the first period, which took the Oilers' chances from 62% to 76%. Expected goals were close — EDM 4.4, FLA 4.4; shots on goal were EDM 31, FLA 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Daniil Tarasov stopped 12 of 12 (1.000), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jack Roslovic (2 G), 2. Mackie Samoskevich (1 G, 1 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    J. Roslovic2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    M. Samoskevich1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM31311127631
FLAFLA18220010338

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    J. Roslovic(8)
    E. Bouchard (15)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:25
  2. FLA
    A. Lundell(6)
    M. Samoskevich (8), S. Jones (9)
    slapxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    6:30
  3. EDM
    J. Roslovic(9)
    E. Bouchard (16)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:06
  4. EDM
    M. Ekholm(2)
    A. Henrique (5), D. Nurse (5)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    13:58

2nd period

  1. EDM
    V. Podkolzin(4)
    L. Draisaitl (14), E. Bouchard (17)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +11 ptsVideo
    4-1
    6:45
  2. FLA
    M. Samoskevich(3)
    U. Balinskis (2), S. Bennett (4)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +10 ptsVideo
    4-2
    10:04
  3. FLA
    S. Reinhart(12)PPG
    A. Lundell (12), B. Marchand (11)
    backhandxG 0.35win prob +14 ptsVideo
    4-3
    13:30

3rd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(10)EN
    M. Ekholm (7)
    wristxG 0.80win prob +8 ptsVideo
    5-3
    17:20
  2. EDM
    M. Savoie(3)EN
    M. Janmark (2), M. Ekholm (8)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    17:47

Penalties

EDM 24 PIM·FLA 20 PIM

1st

  • 8:35EDMTrent Frederic · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 8:35FLAA.J. Greer · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 8:35FLAA.J. Greer · Misconduct10 min
  • 8:35EDMTrent Frederic · Misconduct10 min
  • 11:55FLADonovan Sebrango · Interferencedrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

2nd

  • 8:02EDMDavid Tomasek · Interferencedrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min
  • 12:29EDMBrett Kulak · Hookingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min
  • 15:19FLAUvis Balinskis · Slashingdrawn by Jack Roslovic2 min

3rd

  • 11:09EDMZach Hyman · Hookingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 19:23EDMConnor Clattenburg · Roughingdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
  • 19:23EDMMattias Janmark · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:23EDMMattias Janmark · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 19:23FLAA.J. Greer · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Connor Clattenburg2 min
  • 19:23FLANiko Mikkola · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalEDM goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Mattias Ekholm, 1st 13:58 — EDM 62% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.35B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.32A. Lundell · Goal · xG 0.27U. Balinskis · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.16A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.13B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.13S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.12A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.11B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.11J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.10E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.09M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.09B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.08B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.07M. Samoskevich · Goal · xG 0.07M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lundell · On goal · xG 0.07A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.06J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.05N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.05M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.04M. Samoskevich · On goal · xG 0.04N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Devine · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.03E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.03B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.03A. Greer · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lundell · Missed · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.02L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Samoskevich · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Devine · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01N. Gregor · Missed · xG 0.01D. Sebrango · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.00E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.4 xG · 67 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsFLA
4.44 G
All situations
3 G4.4
2.64 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.40 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 117 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM31%69%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.92 – 4.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
38
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
1/4
24
Penalty minutes
20
20
Hits
30
13
Blocked shots
10
13
Giveaways
14
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29L. DraisaitlC011+130.422106022:27
2E. BouchardD033+510.04010—22:12
97C. McDavidC101+131.101003320:48
14M. EkholmD123+530.25200—20:37
27B. KulakD000-120.03002—19:55
49T. EmbersonD000-100.02440—19:18
18Z. HymanL000+110.03002—19:00
25D. NurseD011+110.10110—18:33
19A. HenriqueC011+210.071204118:18
28J. RoslovicC202+140.4900010016:24
75A. RegulaD000-100.00200—16:22
92V. PodkolzinR101+220.172105015:50
88A. MangiapaneL000+100.00000—13:56
22M. SavoieC101+220.84000013:47
13M. JanmarkC011+140.3411410011:54
10T. FredericC000020.132112011:21
86D. TomasekR000000.10102—05:53
64C. ClattenburgC000020.23112005:47
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)38353.9214.35+1.3560:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).