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Senators at Capitals
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Washington Capitals
▸4
FinalTV MNMT, SN·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 8:09 of the second period, which took the Capitals' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 4.5 to 3.5; shots on goal were OTT 35, WSH 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Logan Thompson stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Logan Thompson (34 saves, .971), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G), 3. Cole Hutson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    L. Thompson34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    C. Hutson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01606113135
WSHWSH0721325425

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(25)
    R. Sandin (21)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +18 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:09
  2. WSH
    T. Wilson(25)
    T. van Riemsdyk (8), P. Dubois (4)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:13

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Stützle(31)
    C. Giroux (31), T. Chabot (23)
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +6 ptsVideo
    1-2
    17:19
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(22)EN
    C. McMichael (24)
    wristxG 0.59win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:28
  3. WSH
    C. Hutson(1)EN
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.53Video
    1-4
    19:34

Penalties

OTT 4 PIM·WSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 11:51WSHTom Wilson · Holdingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

2nd

  • 1:30OTTNick Cousins · Slashingdrawn by Martin Fehérváry2 min

3rd

  • 5:35WSHTom Wilson · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 14:13WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Slashingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 18:48OTTTyler Kleven · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 2nd 8:09 — WSH 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Protas · Goal · xG 0.59C. Hutson · Goal · xG 0.53T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.45E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.29R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.25D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.16D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.16A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.11C. Hutson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.10D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.10R. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.08E. Frank · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.07E. Frank · Missed · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.06C. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.06H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.06C. Hutson · On goal · xG 0.06T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.06A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.05B. Duhaime · On goal · xG 0.05C. McMichael · Missed · xG 0.04P. Dubois · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.04M. Roy · Missed · xG 0.04D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.04T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Duhaime · Missed · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.02A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01R. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH4 G · 4.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
3.51 G
All situations
2 G4.5
2.01 G
Even strength
2 G2.4
1.60 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT59%41%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.46 – 2.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
35
Shots on goal
25
67%
Faceoffs
33%
0/3
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
25
12
Blocked shots
20
12
Giveaways
12
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD011-220.16220—28:06
10J. SpenceD000020.13000—24:04
18T. StützleC101-140.484006321:09
2A. ZubD000-240.11110—20:41
43T. KlevenD000020.06142—20:07
12S. PintoC000-120.471105619:04
7B. TkachukL000-130.3500010018:30
24D. CozensC000-110.141006718:25
19D. BathersonR000-120.35000—17:05
71R. GreigC000-120.250008316:41
22M. AmadioR000000.21000—14:15
21N. CousinsC000020.11302013:20
28C. GirouxR011030.260007513:20
20F. ZetterlundL000020.19000—12:41
89L. EllerC000010.021004611:42
37W. FoegeleL000010.21010—10:41
33N. MatinpaloD000010.02000—10:08
6D. GilbertD000010.03130—09:33
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark(L)23212.9132.93+0.9357:42

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).