Skip to content
Capitals at Senators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
3
Ottawa Senators
▸4
FinalTV MNMT, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Washington Capitals 4-3. The Senators came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Fabian Zetterlund's goal at 17:38 of the third period, which took the Senators' chances from 52% to 95%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.6 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 29, OTT 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 28 of 32 (.875), 1.2 goals below expected; Leevi Meriläinen stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Thomas Chabot (1 A), 2. Shane Pinto (2 A), 3. Fabian Zetterlund (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 A
  2. ★★
    OTT
    S. Pinto2 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    F. Zetterlund1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH2160716329
OTTOTT06215211432

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(22)
    J. Sourdif (7)
    wristxG 0.34win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    8:13
  2. WSH
    D. Strome(9)PPG
    R. Leonard (15), J. Chychrun (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    18:59

2nd period

  1. OTT
    N. Jensen(2)
    J. Sanderson (20), S. Pinto (7)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    7:42
  2. OTT
    R. Greig(5)
    S. Pinto (8), M. Amadio (9)
    deflectedxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-2
    19:31

3rd period

  1. OTT
    D. Perron(8)
    S. Halliday (6), N. Cousins (4)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-3
    2:47
  2. WSH
    A. Protas(16)
    J. Sourdif (8), T. Wilson (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:53
  3. OTT
    F. Zetterlund(10)
    T. Chabot (11), T. Stützle (23)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +43 ptsVideo
    3-4
    17:38

Penalties

WSH 17 PIM·OTT 17 PIM

1st

  • 4:21WSHAlex Ovechkin · High stickingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min
  • 9:16OTTArtem Zub · Roughingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 9:16OTTArtem Zub · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 9:16WSHDylan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Artem Zub2 min
  • 14:25OTTDrake Batherson · Fightingdrawn by Justin Sourdif5 min
  • 14:25WSHJustin Sourdif · Fightingdrawn by Drake Batherson5 min
  • 17:53OTTNick Jensen · High stickingdrawn by Brandon Duhaime2 min

2nd

  • 3:13OTTNick Cousins · Cross checkingdrawn by Ryan Leonard2 min
  • 8:21WSHConnor McMichael · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 9:23OTTDavid Perron · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min
  • 15:41OTTNick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Trevor van Riemsdyk2 min
  • 15:41WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 3:39WSHMatt Roy · Trippingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min
  • 11:21WSHAnthony Beauvillier · Slashingdrawn by Michael Amadio2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWSH goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Fabian Zetterlund, 3rd 17:38 — OTT 52% → 95%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.40R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.38D. Perron · Goal · xG 0.20R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.18R. Greig · Goal · xG 0.18D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.17F. Zetterlund · Goal · xG 0.16D. Batherson · Missed · xG 0.15J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.15S. Halliday · On goal · xG 0.15D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.10J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.09B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.08B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07S. Halliday · Missed · xG 0.07T. Chabot · Missed · xG 0.06T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.05N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.05D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.05R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.04D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.03S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.03T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.03J. Sanderson · Missed · xG 0.03J. Spence · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.03D. Cozens · Missed · xG 0.03D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02T. Kleven · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cozens · On goal · xG 0.02J. Spence · Missed · xG 0.01R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.01A. Zub · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT4 G · 3.6 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsOTT
2.03 G
All situations
4 G3.6
1.42 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH36%64%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.97 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
32
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/4
Power play
0/4
17
Penalty minutes
17
15
Hits
32
19
Blocked shots
14
9
Giveaways
17
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6J. ChychrunD011+120.09000—23:25
74J. CarlsonD000-120.02050—23:15
43T. WilsonR112+130.40310—22:51
3M. RoyD000000.01022—21:38
17D. StromeC101-340.200026718:47
24C. McMichaelL000000.040123318:21
38R. SandinD000-110.02100—18:05
26N. DowdC000-100.001104717:29
8A. OvechkinL000-240.23402—16:33
42M. FehérváryD000-230.03130—16:04
72A. BeauvillierR000-120.12112—15:27
21A. ProtasL101-130.24010—14:55
34J. SourdifC022+210.161054613:25
9R. LeonardR011-100.00100—12:58
57T. van RiemsdykD000-100.02032—11:39
53E. FrankR000020.28000—11:34
22B. DuhaimeL000000.0010010008:37
29H. LapierreC000020.161103307:12
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
48L. Thompson(L)32284.8752.79-1.2157:45

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).