Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Mats Zuccarello scoring at 3:09. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 3:09 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 37, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Spencer Knight stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Faber (3 A), 2. Frank Nazar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G).
Three stars
- ★B. Faber3 A

- ★★F. Nazar1 G, 1 A

- ★★★M. Zuccarello1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-06:17
2-07:58
2-110:47
3-118:30
2nd period
3-214:35
3rd period
3-318:20
Overtime
4-33:09
Penalties
1st
- 13:10
Danila Yurov · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
- 16:41
Andrew Mangiapane · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
2nd
- 0:23
Nick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, OT 3:09 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.44 G
- All situations
- 3 G2.9
- 2.93 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.2
- 0.51 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.84
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 37
- Shots on goal
- 26
- 58%
- Faceoffs
- 42%
- 1/1
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 23
- Hits
- 9
- 14
- Blocked shots
- 15
- 13
- Giveaways
- 16
- 6
- Takeaways
- 5
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 3-1
4@
3OTFinal
3@
4SOFinal
4@
3OTthis game
2@
1Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















