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Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV TNT, HBO MAX·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Mats Zuccarello scoring at 3:09. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 3:09 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were MIN 37, CHI 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Spencer Knight stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Faber (3 A), 2. Frank Nazar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mats Zuccarello (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    B. Faber3 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    F. Nazar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Zuccarello1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN3160100615437
CHICHI171111701326

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:17
  2. MIN
    snapxG 0.28win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:58
  3. CHI
    slapxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:47
  4. MIN
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:30

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.35win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-2
    14:35

3rd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +46 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:20

Overtime

  1. MIN
    snapxG 0.15win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:09

Penalties

MIN 4 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 13:10MINDanila Yurov · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min
  • 16:41CHIAndrew Mangiapane · Cross checkingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min

2nd

  • 0:23MINNick Foligno · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Greene2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, OT 3:09 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Greene · Goal · xG 0.36T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.20R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.19I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.19F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.18R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.17T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.16I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.15I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.10C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.08R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.06E. Del Mastro · On goal · xG 0.06R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.04A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.04R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.03S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.00C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.9 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
3.44 G
All situations
3 G2.9
2.93 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN57%43%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.27 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
37
Shots on goal
26
58%
Faceoffs
42%
1/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
15
13
Giveaways
16
6
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43Q. HughesD000010.21010—27:27
97K. KaprizovL011-160.71110—21:54
7B. FaberD033050.17310—21:48
46J. SpurgeonD000010.01100—21:01
12M. BoldyL000030.2401010020:34
25J. BrodinD011010.02030—20:19
38R. HartmanR101-240.351305818:39
36M. ZuccarelloR101020.16100—17:12
90M. JohanssonL123+210.30000—15:56
24Z. BogosianD000010.02100—15:50
91V. TarasenkoR101020.19110—15:36
5J. MiddletonD000-110.03010—15:24
22D. YurovR000030.361023814:58
47M. McCarronC011+100.005007014:19
71N. FolignoL000020.25302—12:31
13Y. TreninC000010.04300012:20
78N. SturmC000000.001107511:39
21R. FabbriC000-130.30110008:10
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)24213.8752.56-0.4459:32
30J. Wallstedt2201.0000.36+0.3603:27

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).