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Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

Final/OTTV ESPN+, HULU·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3 in overtime, Kirill Kaprizov scoring at 1:38. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirill Kaprizov's goal at 1:38 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 3.8 to 3.2; shots on goal were MIN 24, CHI 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 34 of 37 (.919), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Spencer Knight stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G), 2. Matt Boldy (1 G, 2 A), 3. Connor Bedard (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Boldy1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
MINMIN05182912424
CHICHI020291800337

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. CHI
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +17 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:41
  2. CHI
    snapxG 0.23win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-2
    12:08
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.01win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:46

3rd period

  1. MIN
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +24 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:17
  2. CHI
    C. Bedard (19), C. Dach (3)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:31
  3. MIN
    wristxG 0.64win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:35

Overtime

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    1:38

Penalties

MIN 18 PIM·CHI 20 PIM

1st

  • 4:44CHIArtyom Levshunov · Slashingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 6:10MINMatt Boldy · Trippingdrawn by Wyatt Kaiser2 min
  • 8:25MINJonas Brodin · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 9:13CHIConnor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Nico Sturm2 min

2nd

  • 2:49MINYakov Trenin · High stickingdrawn by Landon Slaggert2 min
  • 8:24CHIColton Dach · Fightingdrawn by Jake Middleton5 min
  • 8:24MINJake Middleton · Fightingdrawn by Colton Dach5 min
  • 13:00CHIIlya Mikheyev · Holdingdrawn by Kirill Kaprizov2 min
  • 19:56CHILouis Crevier · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 12:41CHIConnor Murphy · Fightingdrawn by Yakov Trenin5 min
  • 12:41MINYakov Trenin · Fightingdrawn by Connor Murphy5 min
  • 16:46MINJake Middleton · Trippingdrawn by Oliver Moore2 min

OT

  • 0:53CHIIlya Mikheyev · Interferencedrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalMIN goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Kirill Kaprizov, OT 1:38 — MIN 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.32I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.28C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.26C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.23T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.19O. Moore · On goal · xG 0.18A. Levshunov · Goal · xG 0.17T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.14R. Greene · Missed · xG 0.11F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.11W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.11J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.11I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.09R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.08F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.08R. Greene · On goal · xG 0.07J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.07W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.07W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.06J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.05C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05S. Rinzel · Missed · xG 0.05A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.05R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05F. Nazar · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.04I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.03F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.03J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.03R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.02T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Levshunov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.01S. Rinzel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01A. Levshunov · Missed · xG 0.01C. Dach · Missed · xG 0.01C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.00I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.00A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 3.8 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsCHI
3.24 G
All situations
3 G3.8
2.63 G
Even strength
3 G3.0
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 100 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN41%59%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.11 – 3.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsCHI
24
Shots on goal
37
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/5
Power play
0/4
18
Penalty minutes
20
26
Hits
11
5
Blocked shots
11
18
Giveaways
19
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD112040.10010—25:04
97K. KaprizovL101020.70000—24:41
14J. Eriksson EkC011+220.072004823:32
12M. BoldyL123+261.073023322:34
25J. BrodinD022+110.02012—21:50
46J. SpurgeonD000010.02210—20:25
36M. ZuccarelloR000-100.0810010019:49
90M. JohanssonL011010.14010—18:44
8Z. BuiumD000-100.04000—17:16
5J. MiddletonD011+100.01107—16:48
22D. YurovR000-230.292005015:59
24Z. BogosianD000-100.02110—15:17
78N. SturmC101020.263001112:49
13Y. TreninC000-100.151075012:12
28L. OhgrenL000000.00200—09:07
39B. JonesC000000.002006008:30
17M. FolignoL000-120.2130010007:28
19T. PitlickC000+100.00300005:41
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)37343.9193.85+0.8561:31

Season series

MIN leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).