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Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings

FinalTV FDSNDET, Prime·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Calgary Flames 5-2. The Flames scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Red Wings led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Emmitt Finnie's goal at 5:06 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Red Wings, 4.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 27, DET 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Dustin Wolf stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (2 G), 2. Alex DeBrincat (3 A), 3. Matt Coronato (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    P. Kane2 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    A. DeBrincat3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Coronato1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY11111204227
DETDET0841017525

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:35

2nd period

  1. DET
    snapxG 0.20win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:03
  2. DET
    backhandxG 0.24win prob +17 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:06
  3. DET
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    6:37
  4. CGY
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:23
  5. DET
    M. Seider(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.04win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-4
    11:45

3rd period

  1. DET
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.93Video
    2-5
    18:55

Penalties

CGY 17 PIM·DET 13 PIM

1st

  • 1:50CGYHunter Brzustewicz · High stickingdrawn by John Leonard2 min
  • 9:28DETDominik Shine · Fightingdrawn by Martin Pospisil5 min
  • 9:28CGYMartin Pospisil · Fightingdrawn by Dominik Shine5 min
  • 14:34CGYZach Whitecloud · Slashingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min

2nd

  • 2:52DETMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 2:52DETMason Appleton · Roughingdrawn by Connor Zary2 min
  • 2:52CGYConnor Zary · Roughingdrawn by Mason Appleton2 min
  • 10:41CGYMatvei Gridin · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Bernard-Docker2 min
  • 18:28DETBen Chiarot · Interferencedrawn by Martin Pospisil2 min
  • 19:58CGYConnor Zary · Cross checkingdrawn by Albert Johansson2 min

3rd

  • 7:08DETMoritz Seider · Holdingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min
  • 7:08CGYBlake Coleman · Roughingdrawn by Moritz Seider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalCGY goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Emmitt Finnie, 2nd 5:06 — DET 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Shine · Goal · xG 0.92E. Finnie · Goal · xG 0.24P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.20E. Finnie · On goal · xG 0.18A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.15J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.14D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.13J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.12A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.12J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.12E. Finnie · Missed · xG 0.12P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.11A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.11M. Kasper · Missed · xG 0.10J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.09J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.09A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.09M. Kasper · On goal · xG 0.09J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.08J. Leonard · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.07P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.06P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Seider · Goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.04J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.04L. Raymond · On goal · xG 0.04M. Seider · Missed · xG 0.03L. Raymond · Missed · xG 0.03J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Seider · On goal · xG 0.00
DET5 G · 4.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsDET
2.12 G
All situations
4 G4.3
1.52 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.30 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY27%73%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 3.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsDET
27
Shots on goal
25
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/2
Power play
1/4
17
Penalty minutes
13
20
Hits
26
13
Blocked shots
13
15
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3O. MaattaD000-220.05010—23:22
7K. BahlD000-200.00500—21:07
28Z. WhitecloudD000-100.02222—19:37
20B. ColemanL000-120.12212—18:54
27M. CoronatoR112+140.41010—18:33
48H. BrzustewiczD000-210.01012—18:33
16M. FrostC101+130.360107717:50
11M. BacklundC000-120.360006217:45
19Z. ParekhD000+100.11020—17:25
44J. HanleyD000+200.00010—17:01
92M. GridinR011+130.10102—16:29
22R. StromeC000-300.020104316:21
17Y. SharangovichC000-210.14000013:53
86J. FarabeeL000-140.22220—13:44
95V. OlofssonL000-210.03000—13:03
47C. ZaryC000000.003047810:00
70R. LombergL000020.08300—09:45
76M. PospisilC000020.03205009:39
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32D. Wolf(L)24204.8333.42-0.5857:55

Season series

DET leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).